Wright State @ Loyola Chicago
Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Horizon vs Atlantic 10 · · Gentile Arena
- Wright State Horizon 0-0, 11th · 0-0 overall
- Loyola Chicago A-10 0-0, 7th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | LUC -6.7 |
| Total | n/a | 128.8 |
| Moneyline | n/a | WRST +258 LUC -258 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Loyola Chicago can win
- Home court: Loyola Chicago play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: Loyola Chicago 126th (+0.4), Wright State 325th (-1.0) of 364.
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Loyola Chicago 55th (25.9), Wright State 247th (21.1) of 364.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.1 points to Loyola Chicago in our ratings.
- Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Loyola Chicago. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (272nd of 364) meets the Wright State shooting defense (325th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Loyola Chicago. The closest: best player against best player, Alexa Kinas (Loyola Chicago: 9.9 pts, 4.8 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 8.7) is about even with Breezie Williams (Wright State: 12.5 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 8.7).
- Simulation: Loyola Chicago win 3,605 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Loyola Chicago may not
- Three-point shooting: Wright State 46th (34.3%), Loyola Chicago 322nd (26.8%) of 364.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Wright State 80th (20.3), Loyola Chicago 205th (23.4) of 364.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Wright State about 0.9 points stronger over recent games.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Loyola Chicago lose by 9 or more.
- Team matchup: a strength Loyola Chicago may not get to use. Their ball pressure (55th of 364) meets the Wright State ball security (80th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: At forward, Chloe Chard Peloquin (Wright State: 7.7 pts, 6.6 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 7.3) has the edge on Brooklyn Vaughn (Loyola Chicago: 8.4 pts, 5.4 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 5.9).
- Upset odds: Wright State win 1,395 of 5,000 simulations (28%). A 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
WRST Wright State
Every regular played last game.
LUC Loyola Chicago
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| WRST | LUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -11.8 286 | Net rating | -6.6 242 |
| 88.6 223 | Offensive rating | 84.4 276 |
| 100.4 318 | Defensive rating | 91.0 171 |
| -1.0 325 | Strength of schedule | +0.4 126 |
| 44.6% 197 | Effective FG% | 42.9% 272 |
| 49.6% 325 | Opponent eFG% | 46.0% 210 |
| 20.3 80 | Turnovers per 100 | 23.4 205 |
| 25.5% 324 | Offensive rebound % | 29.2% 249 |
| 34.3% 46 | 3-point % | 26.8% 322 |
| 70.8 201 | Pace | 67.5 319 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-02-16 | 2012-13 | Loyola Chicago 79 @ Wright State 70 | LUC |
| 2013-01-19 | 2012-13 | Wright State 67 @ Loyola Chicago 56 | WRST |
| 2012-03-07 | 2011-12 | Loyola Chicago 67 @ Wright State 91 | WRST |
| 2012-02-04 | 2011-12 | Loyola Chicago 74 @ Wright State 66 | LUC |
| 2012-01-05 | 2011-12 | Wright State 64 @ Loyola Chicago 62 | WRST |
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