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QUC

Queens University @ Alabama

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · ASUN vs SEC · · Coleman Coliseum

ALA
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under posted yet · our projected total 130.7

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
ALAAlabama Crimson Tide
92% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.

AZMango model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Advantages Why Alabama can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.5 points to Alabama in our ratings.
  2. Simulation: Alabama win 4,595 of 5,000 simulated games.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Alabama 67th (+12.1), Queens University 321st (-16.8) of 364.
  4. Alabama's offense (100.9 points per 100 possessions, 51st in Division I) meets a Queens University defense that ranks 278th.
  5. Home court: Alabama play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  6. Team matchup: where Alabama can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (27th of 364) meets the Queens University shooting defense (308th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  7. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Jessica Timmons (Alabama: 16.3 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.7) has the edge on Brenae Jones-Grant (Queens University: 8.5 pts, 6.2 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 7.7).

Disadvantages Why Alabama may not

  1. Upset odds: Queens University win 405 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
  2. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  3. Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  4. Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
  5. Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
  6. Team matchup: Queens University have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  7. Star matchup: the key positions lean Alabama on paper, but Brenae Jones-Grant (8.5 pts, 6.2 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 7.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup. Answers come only from the numbers on this page.

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An AI reads this page for you and can get things wrong; the numbers above are the source. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

The line and our numbers

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetALA -16.1
Total pointsn/a130.7
Win chanceQUC n/a · ALA n/aQUC 8% · ALA 92%
MoneylineQUC +1129 · ALA -1129 (fair)

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

5,000 simulated games, possession by possession

  • Typical score: Alabama 83, Queens University 67.
  • 80% of simulations land between Alabama by 1 and Alabama by 32.
See live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Plain links. We are not paid for them and take no bets.

Still out?

Women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.

QUC Queens University

Every regular played last game.

ALA Alabama

Every regular played last game.

Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

QUCALA
0-0Record0-0
-16.8 321Net rating+12.1 67
79.8 327Offensive rating100.9 51
96.6 278Defensive rating88.7 115
-0.7 300Strength of schedule+3.0 8
40.7% 321Effective FG%51.3% 27
48.8% 308Opponent eFG%43.3% 53
24.2 251Turnovers per 10021.5 123
28.2% 275Offensive rebound %30.0% 220
30.2% 1923-point %36.4% 12
71.8 150Pace69.4 266

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (12 points in a typical NCAAW game).

8%Queens University
92%Alabama

Our number. Move the slider or flip a player.

Game chat

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    Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 11,204 Division I games since 2020-21. Model version 1. How it works

    This matchup on any day (power ratings only)