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NOLA

LSU New Orleans @ Alabama

NCAAW · · Coleman Coliseum

ALA

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
ALAAlabama Crimson Tide
98% to win
ModelNOLA 2%ALA 98%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: even a pick this strong still loses about 2 times in 100.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetALA -23.8
Totaln/a140.2
Moneylinen/aNOLA +4182
ALA -4182 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
ALA 86, NOLA 63
8 in 10 games
ALA by 7 to ALA by 39
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Alabama can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 13.0 points to Alabama in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Alabama 67th (+12.1), LSU New Orleans 351st (-25.8) of 363.
  3. Alabama's offense (100.9 points per 100 possessions, 51st in Division I) meets a LSU New Orleans defense that ranks 349th.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.8 points to Alabama in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Alabama can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (28th of 363) meets the LSU New Orleans shooting defense (348th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (220th of 363) meets the LSU New Orleans defensive rebounding (354th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: LSU New Orleans play fast (12th of 363 in pace), Alabama slow (265th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Essence Cody (Alabama: 11.5 pts, 4.0 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 8.7) has the edge on Hailee Brennen (LSU New Orleans: 5.1 pts, 3.5 reb, 0.4 ast, Game Score 3.3); best player against best player, Jessica Timmons (Alabama: 16.3 pts, 4.5 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.7) has the edge on Lauren Banks (LSU New Orleans: 9.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 6.0).
  7. Simulation: Alabama win 4,885 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Alabama may not

  1. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  2. Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  3. Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
  4. Small samples: early-season numbers come from a handful of games against very different opponents.
  5. Team matchup: LSU New Orleans have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Alabama on paper, but Lauren Banks (9.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 6.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: LSU New Orleans win 115 of 5,000 simulations (2%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 2 times in 100.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

NOLA LSU New Orleans

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

ALA Alabama

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

NOLAALA
0-1Record1-0
-25.8 351Net rating+12.1 67
79.0 332Offensive rating100.9 51
104.8 349Defensive rating88.7 115
+0.2 142Strength of schedule+3.5 9
38.7% 349Effective FG%51.3% 28
50.5% 348Opponent eFG%43.3% 53
25.0 282Turnovers per 10021.5 123
30.7% 200Offensive rebound %30.0% 220
25.0% 3503-point %36.4% 12
77.5 12Pace69.4 265

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

  • New Orleans 53 @ Alabama 115Nov 4, 2024
  • New Orleans 57 @ Alabama 78Nov 11, 2016
  • New Orleans 58 @ Alabama 87Dec 21, 2014

What if?

LSU New Orleans2%
98%Alabama

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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