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LIU

Long Island University @ Rutgers

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · NEC vs Big Ten · · Jersey Mike’s Arena

RUTG
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under posted yet · our projected total 134.5

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
LIULong Island University Sharks
80% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

AZMango model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Advantages Why Long Island University can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 9.6 points to Long Island University in our ratings.
  2. Simulation: Long Island University win 4,020 of 5,000 simulated games.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Long Island University about 3.9 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Long Island University 107th (+6.9), Rutgers 319th (-16.6) of 364.
  5. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.3 points to Long Island University in our ratings.
  6. Team matchup: where Long Island University can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (94th of 364) meets the Rutgers shooting defense (303rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (183rd of 364) meets the Rutgers defensive rebounding (313th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  7. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kadidia Toure (Long Island University: 19.2 pts, 10.4 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 15.1) has the edge on Nene Ndiaye (Rutgers: 14.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 9.8); at guard, Janessa Williams (Long Island University: 13.2 pts, 6.8 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 10.4) has the edge on Imani Lester (Rutgers: 10.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 7.9).

Disadvantages Why Long Island University may not

  1. Home court: Rutgers play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Rutgers 31st (+1.9), Long Island University 363rd (-2.1) of 364.
  3. Upset odds: Rutgers win 980 of 5,000 simulations (20%). A 80% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Long Island University lose by 6 or more.
  5. Weak spot: Long Island University rank 363rd of 364 in strength of schedule (-2.1).
  6. Team matchup: Rutgers have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  7. Star matchup: the key positions lean Long Island University on paper, but Nene Ndiaye (14.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 9.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup. Answers come only from the numbers on this page.

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An AI reads this page for you and can get things wrong; the numbers above are the source. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

The line and our numbers

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetLIU -10.4
Total pointsn/a134.5
Win chanceLIU n/a · RUTG n/aLIU 80% · RUTG 20%
MoneylineLIU -409 · RUTG +409 (fair)

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

5,000 simulated games, possession by possession

  • Typical score: Rutgers 70, Long Island University 80.
  • 80% of simulations land between Long Island University by 26 and Rutgers by 6.
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Still out?

Women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.

LIU Long Island University

Every regular played last game.

RUTG Rutgers

Every regular played last game.

Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

LIURUTG
0-0Record0-0
+6.9 107Net rating-16.6 319
97.2 91Offensive rating84.2 280
90.3 151Defensive rating100.8 322
-2.1 363Strength of schedule+1.9 31
48.3% 94Effective FG%41.5% 306
44.1% 94Opponent eFG%48.5% 303
22.4 160Turnovers per 10024.2 249
31.1% 183Offensive rebound %32.3% 142
34.6% 383-point %29.2% 242
71.7 153Pace69.0 278

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (12 points in a typical NCAAW game).

80%Long Island University
20%Rutgers

Our number. Move the slider or flip a player.

Game chat

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    Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 11,204 Division I games since 2020-21. Model version 1. How it works

    This matchup on any day (power ratings only)