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MERC

Mercyhurst @ Seton Hall

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · NEC vs Big East · · Walsh Gymnasium

HALL
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
HALLSeton Hall Pirates
71% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetHALL -6.6
Totaln/a133.9
Moneylinen/aMERC +250
HALL -250 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

HALL 78, MERC 72Typical score
MERC by 10 to HALL by 228 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Seton Hall can win

  1. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Seton Hall 125th (+4.7), Mercyhurst 297th (-13.6) of 364.
  2. Seton Hall's offense (95.1 points per 100 possessions, 132nd in Division I) meets a Mercyhurst defense that ranks 356th.
  3. Home court: Seton Hall play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  4. Point differential per game: Seton Hall 124th (+3.3), Mercyhurst 296th (-9.4) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Seton Hall can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (145th of 364) meets the Mercyhurst shooting defense (362nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (134th of 364) meets the Mercyhurst defensive rebounding (351st): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Savannah Catalon (Seton Hall: 13.1 pts, 4.6 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 11.5) has the edge on Jenna Van Schaik (Mercyhurst: 13.9 pts, 3.1 reb, 3.4 ast, Game Score 10.0).
  7. Simulation: Seton Hall win 3,570 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Seton Hall may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Seton Hall lose by 10 or more.
  2. Weak spot: Seton Hall rank 281st of 364 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (47.8%).
  3. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  4. Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
  5. Team matchup: where Mercyhurst can push back. Their shooting efficiency (130th of 364) meets the Seton Hall shooting defense (281st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Seton Hall on paper, but Jenna Van Schaik (13.9 pts, 3.1 reb, 3.4 ast, Game Score 10.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Mercyhurst win 1,430 of 5,000 simulations (29%). A 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

MERC Mercyhurst

Every regular played last game.

HALL Seton Hall

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

MERCHALL
0-0Record0-0
-13.6 297Net rating+4.7 125
93.3 147Offensive rating95.1 132
106.9 356Defensive rating90.4 153
-0.7 303Strength of schedule+0.5 112
46.6% 130Effective FG%46.2% 145
54.6% 362Opponent eFG%47.8% 281
21.4 120Turnovers per 10021.7 129
26.8% 298Offensive rebound %32.6% 134
32.7% 823-point %31.7% 127
69.2 272Pace71.0 185

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

29%Mercyhurst
71%Seton Hall

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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