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SPU

Saint Peter's @ Pittsburgh

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · MAAC vs ACC · · Petersen Events Center

PITT
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SPUSaint Peter's Peacocks
63% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSPU -3.8
Totaln/a128.1
Moneylinen/aSPU -172
PITT +172 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

PITT 73, SPU 77Typical score
SPU by 21 to PITT by 128 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Saint Peter's can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Saint Peter's about 5.3 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.5 points to Saint Peter's in our ratings.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.4 points to Saint Peter's in our ratings.
  4. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Saint Peter's 128th (23.6), Pittsburgh 347th (17.6) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Saint Peter's. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (128th of 364) meets the Pittsburgh ball security (145th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: Pittsburgh play fast (148th of 364 in pace), Saint Peter's slow (346th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Saint Peter's, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with De'Naya Rippey (13.4 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 7.7) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Saint Peter's win 3,160 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Saint Peter's may not

  1. Home court: Pittsburgh play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Saint Peter's lose by 12 or more.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Pittsburgh 145th (22.1), Saint Peter's 265th (24.7) of 364.
  4. Weak spot: Saint Peter's rank 362nd of 364 in points per game (50.1).
  5. Team matchup: where Pittsburgh can push back. Their offensive rebounding (274th of 364) meets the Saint Peter's defensive rebounding (341st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Theresa Hagans Jr. (Pittsburgh: 12.5 pts, 3.6 reb, 3.7 ast, Game Score 7.0) has the edge on Louella Allana (Saint Peter's: 3.2 pts, 3.4 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 2.6); best player against best player, Fatima Diakhate (Pittsburgh: 9.4 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 9.8) has the edge on De'Naya Rippey (Saint Peter's: 13.4 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 7.7).
  7. Upset odds: Pittsburgh win 1,840 of 5,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

SPU Saint Peter's

Every regular played last game.

PITT Pittsburgh

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

SPUPITT
0-0Record0-0
-20.4 340Net rating-17.6 329
76.1 348Offensive rating84.2 277
96.4 276Defensive rating101.8 333
-0.1 196Strength of schedule+0.2 146
38.8% 349Effective FG%41.6% 304
47.2% 261Opponent eFG%48.5% 301
24.7 265Turnovers per 10022.1 145
26.9% 294Offensive rebound %28.3% 274
26.9% 3193-point %28.7% 268
65.9 346Pace71.8 148

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2024-12-082024-25Saint Peter's 51 @ Pittsburgh 59PITT

What if?

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63%Saint Peter's
37%Pittsburgh

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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