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UAlbany @ Northeastern

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · America East vs CAA · · Cabot Center

NE
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under posted yet · our projected total 124.5

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
UALBUAlbany Great Danes
51% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

AZMango model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Advantages Why UAlbany can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.8 points to UAlbany in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): UAlbany 158th (+1.0), Northeastern 264th (-9.6) of 364.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.6 points to UAlbany in our ratings.
  4. Simulation: UAlbany win 2,545 of 5,000 simulated games.
  5. UAlbany's offense (91.4 points per 100 possessions, 178th in Division I) meets a Northeastern defense that ranks 286th.
  6. Team matchup: where UAlbany can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (95th of 364) meets the Northeastern shooting defense (291st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (182nd of 364) meets the Northeastern defensive rebounding (263rd): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  7. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Delanie Hill (UAlbany: 14.0 pts, 3.5 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 9.2) has the edge on Justice Tramble (Northeastern: 9.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.9).

Disadvantages Why UAlbany may not

  1. Upset odds: Northeastern win 2,455 of 5,000 simulations (49%). A 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
  2. Home court: Northeastern play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations UAlbany lose by 15 or more.
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Northeastern 119th (0.22), UAlbany 279th (0.18) of 364.
  5. Weak spot: UAlbany rank 323rd of 364 in points per game (56.3).
  6. Team matchup: where Northeastern can push back. Their ball pressure (185th of 364) meets the UAlbany ball security (281st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  7. Star matchup: the key positions lean UAlbany on paper, but Justice Tramble (9.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 6.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup. Answers come only from the numbers on this page.

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An AI reads this page for you and can get things wrong; the numbers above are the source. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

The line and our numbers

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetUALB -0.4
Total pointsn/a124.5
Win chanceUALB n/a · NE n/aUALB 51% · NE 49%
MoneylineUALB -104 · NE +104 (fair)

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

5,000 simulated games, possession by possession

  • Typical score: Northeastern 75, UAlbany 76.
  • 80% of simulations land between UAlbany by 17 and Northeastern by 15.
See live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Plain links. We are not paid for them and take no bets.

Still out?

Women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.

UALB UAlbany

Every regular played last game.

NE Northeastern

Every regular played last game.

Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

UALBNE
0-0Record0-0
+1.0 158Net rating-9.6 264
91.4 178Offensive rating87.4 240
90.4 155Defensive rating97.1 286
+0.0 175Strength of schedule-0.7 301
48.2% 95Effective FG%43.3% 253
44.5% 116Opponent eFG%48.2% 291
25.0 281Turnovers per 10025.2 287
31.2% 182Offensive rebound %33.4% 105
33.9% 583-point %28.8% 263
61.6 363Pace69.3 269

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2014-12-282014-15Northeastern 70 @ Albany 67NE
2014-01-042013-14Albany 75 @ Northeastern 66UALB

What if?

Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (12 points in a typical NCAAW game).

51%UAlbany
49%Northeastern

Our number. Move the slider or flip a player.

Game chat

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    Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 11,204 Division I games since 2020-21. Model version 1. How it works

    This matchup on any day (power ratings only)