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QUC

Queens University @ #8 Vanderbilt

NCAAW · · Memorial Gymnasium (TN)

VAN

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
VANVanderbilt Commodores
99% to win
ModelQUC 1%VAN 99%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetVAN -31.1
Totaln/a145.5
Moneylinen/aQUC +14365
VAN -14365 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
VAN 90, QUC 62
8 in 10 games
VAN by 13 to VAN by 43
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Vanderbilt can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 14.1 points to Vanderbilt in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Vanderbilt 7th (+27.4), Queens University 330th (-17.8) of 363.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Vanderbilt about 5.5 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 5.1 points to Vanderbilt in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Vanderbilt can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (7th of 363) meets the Queens University shooting defense (311th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (28th of 363) meets the Queens University ball security (245th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Mikayla Blakes (Vanderbilt: 27.0 pts, 4.2 reb, 4.6 ast, Game Score 20.7) has the edge on Brenae Jones-Grant (Queens University: 8.2 pts, 6.2 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 7.4).
  7. Simulation: Vanderbilt win 4,965 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Vanderbilt may not

  1. Weak spot: Vanderbilt rank 266th of 363 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (66.3%).
  2. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Queens University 188th (68.2%), Vanderbilt 266th (66.3%) of 363.
  3. Weak spot: Vanderbilt rank 242nd of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (46.6%).
  4. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  5. Team matchup: Queens University have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Vanderbilt on paper, but Brenae Jones-Grant (8.2 pts, 6.2 reb, 0.7 ast, Game Score 7.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Queens University win 35 of 5,000 simulations (1%). Even a pick this strong still loses about 1 time in 100.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

QUC Queens University

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

VAN Vanderbilt

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

QUCVAN
0-1Record1-0
-17.8 330Net rating+27.4 7
79.2 330Offensive rating115.0 6
97.0 285Defensive rating87.6 87
-0.9 291Strength of schedule+3.0 15
40.6% 327Effective FG%54.3% 7
48.9% 311Opponent eFG%46.6% 242
24.2 245Turnovers per 10018.2 27
27.6% 285Offensive rebound %37.6% 30
30.5% 1803-point %36.3% 14
72.2 140Pace74.0 67

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Queens University1%
99%Vanderbilt

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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