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UWF

West Florida @ East Tennessee State

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · ASUN vs SoCon · · Brooks Gymnasium

ETSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
ETSUEast Tennessee State Bucs
66% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 66% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetETSU -4.4
Totaln/a126.2
Moneylinen/aUWF +191
ETSU -191 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

ETSU 78, UWF 73Typical score
UWF by 11 to ETSU by 218 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why East Tennessee State can win

  1. Home court: East Tennessee State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength: East Tennessee State rank 18th of 364 in points allowed per game (57.7).
  3. Strength: East Tennessee State rank 44th of 364 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (42.7%).
  4. Strength: East Tennessee State rank 83rd of 364 in defense, points allowed per 100 possessions (87.3).
  5. Team matchup: not enough unit numbers yet to compare East Tennessee State and West Florida.
  6. Star matchup: not enough player numbers yet this season to compare the key players.
  7. Simulation: East Tennessee State win 3,285 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why East Tennessee State may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated West Florida about 1.2 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations East Tennessee State lose by 11 or more.
  3. Weak spot: East Tennessee State rank 343rd of 364 in effective shooting (eFG%) (39.3%).
  4. Weak spot: East Tennessee State rank 335th of 364 in strength of schedule (-1.1).
  5. Team matchup: West Florida have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: with no player numbers to compare yet, a breakout game from either side is the unknown.
  7. Upset odds: West Florida win 1,715 of 5,000 simulations (34%). A 66% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

UWF West Florida

Every regular played last game.

ETSU East Tennessee State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

UWFETSU
0-0Record0-0
n/a 364Net rating-2.3 201
n/a 364Offensive rating85.0 265
n/a 364Defensive rating87.3 83
n/a 364Strength of schedule-1.1 335
n/a 364Effective FG%39.3% 343
n/a 364Opponent eFG%42.7% 44
n/a 364Turnovers per 10020.3 84
n/a 364Offensive rebound %30.7% 197
n/a 3643-point %26.7% 323
n/a 364Pace66.1 340

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

34%West Florida
66%East Tennessee State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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