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CCSU

Central Connecticut @ VCU

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · NEC vs Atlantic 10 · · Siegel Center

VCU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
VCUVCU Rams
72% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetVCU -6.5
Totaln/a130.3
Moneylinen/aCCSU +258
VCU -258 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

VCU 79, CCSU 72Typical score
CCSU by 9 to VCU by 228 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why VCU can win

  1. Home court: VCU play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: VCU 84th (+0.8), Central Connecticut 348th (-1.3) of 364.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): VCU 210th (67.6%), Central Connecticut 303rd (64.9%) of 364.
  4. Strength: VCU rank 84th of 364 in strength of schedule (+0.8).
  5. Team matchup: where VCU can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (208th of 364) meets the Central Connecticut defensive rebounding (303rd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (158th of 364) meets the Central Connecticut ball security (225th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors VCU. The closest: best player against best player, Mary-Anna Asare (VCU: 17.4 pts, 3.1 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.0) is about even with Lucia Noin (Central Connecticut: 13.5 pts, 5.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.0).
  7. Simulation: VCU win 3,605 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why VCU may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations VCU lose by 9 or more.
  2. Weak spot: VCU rank 354th of 364 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.15).
  3. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Central Connecticut 175th (0.20), VCU 354th (0.15) of 364.
  4. Weak spot: VCU rank 322nd of 364 in offense, points per 100 possessions (80.3).
  5. Team matchup: where Central Connecticut can push back. Their ball pressure (223rd of 364) meets the VCU ball security (298th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean VCU on paper, but Lucia Noin (13.5 pts, 5.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 8.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Central Connecticut win 1,395 of 5,000 simulations (28%). A 72% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

CCSU Central Connecticut

Every regular played last game.

VCU VCU

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

CCSUVCU
0-0Record0-0
-25.9 353Net rating-15.0 310
75.9 349Offensive rating80.3 322
101.8 332Defensive rating95.3 262
-1.3 348Strength of schedule+0.8 84
37.7% 356Effective FG%41.9% 300
49.9% 335Opponent eFG%47.7% 274
23.8 225Turnovers per 10025.5 298
24.3% 336Offensive rebound %30.3% 208
23.5% 3583-point %28.1% 290
70.8 199Pace70.7 209

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

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28%Central Connecticut
72%VCU

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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