Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | LEM -3.6 |
| Total | n/a | 130.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | LEM -155 SMU +155 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Le Moyne can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.5 points to Le Moyne in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Le Moyne about 3.8 points stronger over recent games.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.7 points to Le Moyne in our ratings.
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Le Moyne 236th (66.8%), SMU 349th (60.8%) of 364.
- Team matchup: where Le Moyne can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (261st of 364) meets the SMU defensive rebounding (349th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (256th of 364) meets the SMU shooting defense (322nd): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: SMU play fast (80th of 364 in pace), Le Moyne slow (321st); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Le Moyne. The closest: best player against best player, Ashley Buragas (Le Moyne: 12.7 pts, 7.2 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 9.4) is about even with Kyla Deck (SMU: 10.1 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 8.4).
- Simulation: Le Moyne win 3,040 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Le Moyne may not
- Home court: SMU play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: SMU 76th (+0.9), Le Moyne 339th (-1.2) of 364.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Le Moyne lose by 13 or more.
- SMU's offense (84.1 points per 100 possessions, 281st in Division I) meets a Le Moyne defense that ranks 343rd.
- Team matchup: where SMU can push back. Their ball pressure (162nd of 364) meets the Le Moyne ball security (327th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Le Moyne on paper, but Kyla Deck (10.1 pts, 2.8 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 8.4) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: SMU win 1,960 of 5,000 simulations (39%). A 61% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
LEM Le Moyne
Every regular played last game.
SMU SMU
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| LEM | SMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -20.3 339 | Net rating | -17.5 328 |
| 82.7 299 | Offensive rating | 84.1 281 |
| 103.0 343 | Defensive rating | 101.6 331 |
| -1.2 339 | Strength of schedule | +0.9 76 |
| 43.2% 256 | Effective FG% | 42.4% 283 |
| 48.1% 289 | Opponent eFG% | 49.3% 322 |
| 26.9 327 | Turnovers per 100 | 24.0 238 |
| 28.9% 261 | Offensive rebound % | 29.3% 244 |
| 31.6% 132 | 3-point % | 31.4% 142 |
| 67.5 321 | Pace | 73.5 80 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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