21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
IDST

Idaho State @ BYU

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Big Sky vs Big 12 · · Marriott Center

BYU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
BYUBYU Cougars
67% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetBYU -5.1
Totaln/a135.8
Moneylinen/aIDST +201
BYU -201 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

BYU 78, IDST 73Typical score
IDST by 11 to BYU by 228 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why BYU can win

  1. Home court: BYU play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: BYU 94th (+0.7), Idaho State 240th (-0.4) of 364.
  3. History: BYU won 4 of the last 4 meetings (college rosters turn over, so this says little).
  4. Three-point shooting: BYU 146th (31.3%), Idaho State 253rd (29.0%) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors BYU. The nearest thing to one: their ball pressure (163rd of 364) meets the Idaho State ball security (175th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Delaney Gibb (BYU: 18.3 pts, 5.1 reb, 4.6 ast, Game Score 11.6) has the edge on Kacey Spink (Idaho State: 9.5 pts, 7.2 reb, 4.1 ast, Game Score 10.1).
  7. Simulation: BYU win 3,340 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why BYU may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Idaho State about 1.3 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations BYU lose by 11 or more.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Idaho State 8th (75.2%), BYU 138th (69.8%) of 364.
  4. Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
  5. Team matchup: where Idaho State can push back. Their ball pressure (62nd of 364) meets the BYU ball security (183rd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (56th of 364) meets the BYU defensive rebounding (138th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Piper Carlson (Idaho State: 10.8 pts, 8.1 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 9.9) has the edge on Lara Rohkohl (BYU: 8.2 pts, 6.9 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 8.5).
  7. Upset odds: Idaho State win 1,660 of 5,000 simulations (33%). A 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

IDST Idaho State

Every regular played last game.

BYU BYU

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

IDSTBYU
0-0Record0-0
+4.7 126Net rating+8.4 94
89.2 209Offensive rating96.1 112
84.5 38Defensive rating87.7 90
-0.4 240Strength of schedule+0.7 94
43.3% 252Effective FG%47.4% 110
44.0% 93Opponent eFG%41.9% 24
22.8 175Turnovers per 10023.0 183
35.9% 56Offensive rebound %34.4% 85
29.0% 2533-point %31.3% 146
72.3 130Pace73.5 86

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-12-112025-26Idaho State 59 @ BYU 68BYU
2024-11-162024-25BYU 77 @ Idaho State 68BYU
2023-12-162023-24Idaho State 76 @ BYU 79BYU
2013-03-20PostseasonIdaho State 54 @ BYU 69BYU

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

33%Idaho State
67%BYU

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat