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Santa Clara @ Wyoming

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · WCC vs Mountain West · · Arena-Auditorium

WYO
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under posted yet · our projected total 136.7

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
SCUSanta Clara Broncos
62% to win

A probability, not a promise. A 62% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

AZMango model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Advantages Why Santa Clara can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.1 points to Santa Clara in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Santa Clara 75th (+10.5), Wyoming 285th (-11.7) of 364.
  3. Santa Clara's offense (102.2 points per 100 possessions, 42nd in Division I) meets a Wyoming defense that ranks 239th.
  4. Simulation: Santa Clara win 3,095 of 5,000 simulated games.
  5. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.4 points to Santa Clara in our ratings.
  6. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Santa Clara. The nearest thing to one: their shooting efficiency (151st of 364) meets the Wyoming shooting defense (139th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: Santa Clara play fast (25th of 364 in pace), Wyoming slow (338th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  7. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Sophie Glancey (Santa Clara: 14.6 pts, 7.0 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 12.9) has the edge on Malene Pedersen (Wyoming: 17.2 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 11.2).

Disadvantages Why Santa Clara may not

  1. Home court: Wyoming play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Upset odds: Wyoming win 1,905 of 5,000 simulations (38%). A 62% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Santa Clara lose by 13 or more.
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Wyoming 42nd (73.2%), Santa Clara 162nd (69.1%) of 364.
  5. Weak spot: Santa Clara rank 293rd of 364 in points allowed per game (69.9).
  6. Team matchup: Wyoming have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  7. Star matchup: the key positions lean Santa Clara on paper, but Malene Pedersen (17.2 pts, 4.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 11.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup. Answers come only from the numbers on this page.

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An AI reads this page for you and can get things wrong; the numbers above are the source. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

The line and our numbers

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSCU -3.6
Total pointsn/a136.7
Win chanceSCU n/a · WYO n/aSCU 62% · WYO 38%
MoneylineSCU -162 · WYO +162 (fair)

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one. Odds change all the time, so check a sportsbook before acting on any number here.

5,000 simulated games, possession by possession

  • Typical score: Wyoming 73, Santa Clara 77.
  • 80% of simulations land between Santa Clara by 19 and Wyoming by 13.
See live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Plain links. We are not paid for them and take no bets.

Still out?

Women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so we show what a fan can know before tip-off: regulars who sat out each team's last game. Our model counts them as likely out, exactly as it did in the backtest.

SCU Santa Clara

Every regular played last game.

WYO Wyoming

Every regular played last game.

Check the team's own news before the game; players return and new absences appear at tip-off.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

SCUWYO
0-0Record0-0
+10.5 75Net rating-11.7 285
102.2 42Offensive rating82.4 304
91.7 189Defensive rating94.0 239
+0.2 144Strength of schedule+0.3 136
46.0% 151Effective FG%45.4% 171
45.2% 161Opponent eFG%44.9% 139
15.0 1Turnovers per 10023.1 186
31.4% 177Offensive rebound %19.6% 361
30.9% 1633-point %29.3% 237
76.3 25Pace66.4 338

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-142025-26Wyoming 45 @ Santa Clara 76SCU

What if?

Change the game and see how the chances move. This starts from our number and shifts the expected margin, using how much real results scatter around the line (12 points in a typical NCAAW game).

62%Santa Clara
38%Wyoming

Our number. Move the slider or flip a player.

Game chat

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    Basis: power ratings only (no betting line yet). 5,000 simulated games, checked against a walk-forward backtest of 11,204 Division I games since 2020-21. Model version 1. How it works

    This matchup on any day (power ratings only)