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EKU

Eastern Kentucky @ UT Martin

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · WAC vs Ohio Valley · · Kathleen and Tom Elam Center

UTM
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
EKUEastern Kentucky Colonels
63% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetEKU -3.9
Totaln/a128.5
Moneylinen/aEKU -168
UTM +168 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

UTM 73, EKU 77Typical score
EKU by 20 to UTM by 128 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Eastern Kentucky can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.0 points to Eastern Kentucky in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Eastern Kentucky 50th (+14.0), UT Martin 245th (-7.0) of 364.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.8 points to Eastern Kentucky in our ratings.
  4. Eastern Kentucky's offense (97.1 points per 100 possessions, 94th in Division I) meets a UT Martin defense that ranks 247th.
  5. Team matchup: where Eastern Kentucky can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (124th of 364) meets the UT Martin shooting defense (192nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Eastern Kentucky. The closest: at forward, Joseana Vaz (Eastern Kentucky: 14.2 pts, 6.9 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.7) is about even with Zy Thompson (UT Martin: 10.9 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 8.5).
  7. Simulation: Eastern Kentucky win 3,135 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Eastern Kentucky may not

  1. Home court: UT Martin play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Eastern Kentucky lose by 12 or more.
  3. Strength of schedule: UT Martin 221st (-0.3), Eastern Kentucky 329th (-1.1) of 364.
  4. History: UT Martin won 5 of the last 5 meetings (college rosters turn over, so this says little).
  5. Team matchup: a strength Eastern Kentucky may not get to use. Their ball pressure (118th of 364) meets the UT Martin ball security (139th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Eastern Kentucky on paper, but Kenley McCarn (15.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 10.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: UT Martin win 1,865 of 5,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

EKU Eastern Kentucky

Every regular played last game.

UTM UT Martin

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

EKUUTM
0-0Record0-0
+14.0 50Net rating-7.0 245
97.1 94Offensive rating87.4 241
83.1 21Defensive rating94.4 247
-1.1 329Strength of schedule-0.3 221
47.0% 124Effective FG%44.5% 200
42.2% 31Opponent eFG%45.7% 192
18.8 39Turnovers per 10022.0 139
28.2% 277Offensive rebound %20.8% 360
30.3% 1873-point %29.2% 239
71.7 157Pace68.8 283

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2021-02-202020-21Eastern Kentucky 62 @ UT Martin 81UTM
2021-01-212020-21UT Martin 65 @ Eastern Kentucky 39UTM
2020-01-302019-20UT Martin 65 @ Eastern Kentucky 50UTM
2019-01-172018-19UT Martin 87 @ Eastern Kentucky 61UTM
2018-02-082017-18UT Martin 72 @ Eastern Kentucky 54UTM

What if?

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63%Eastern Kentucky
37%UT Martin

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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