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FDU

Fairleigh Dickinson @ Baylor

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · NEC vs Big 12 · · Foster Pavilion

BAY
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
BAYBaylor Bears
52% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetBAY -0.6
Totaln/a125.4
Moneylinen/aFDU +110
BAY -110 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

BAY 76, FDU 75Typical score
FDU by 15 to BAY by 178 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Baylor can win

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Baylor about 3.0 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Home court: Baylor play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  3. Strength of schedule: Baylor 17th (+2.3), Fairleigh Dickinson 362nd (-1.8) of 364.
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Baylor 58th (0.24), Fairleigh Dickinson 358th (0.14) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: no unit-against-unit mismatch clearly favors Baylor. The nearest thing to one: their offensive rebounding (76th of 364) meets the Fairleigh Dickinson defensive rebounding (77th), close to even, so this is more about execution than one area to exploit. Pace clash: Baylor play fast (136th of 364 in pace), Fairleigh Dickinson slow (356th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Darianna Littlepage-Buggs (Baylor: 10.6 pts, 10.1 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 9.7) has the edge on Rebecca Osei-Owusu (Fairleigh Dickinson: 6.8 pts, 6.4 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 7.4); best player against best player, Taliah Scott (Baylor: 19.7 pts, 2.6 reb, 2.7 ast, Game Score 11.3) has the edge on Kailee McDonald (Fairleigh Dickinson: 12.0 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 9.2).
  7. Simulation: Baylor win 2,620 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Baylor may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.3 points to Fairleigh Dickinson in our ratings.
  2. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.5 points to Fairleigh Dickinson in our ratings.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Baylor lose by 15 or more.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Fairleigh Dickinson 93rd (20.5), Baylor 195th (23.2) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Fairleigh Dickinson can push back. Their offensive rebounding (23rd of 364) meets the Baylor defensive rebounding (187th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Baylor on paper, but Kailee McDonald (12.0 pts, 4.9 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 9.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Fairleigh Dickinson win 2,380 of 5,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

FDU Fairleigh Dickinson

Every regular played last game.

BAY Baylor

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

FDUBAY
0-0Record0-0
+23.4 14Net rating+14.2 48
104.3 32Offensive rating97.8 80
81.0 10Defensive rating83.5 25
-1.8 362Strength of schedule+2.3 17
49.3% 71Effective FG%48.0% 98
39.6% 4Opponent eFG%40.1% 6
20.5 93Turnovers per 10023.2 195
38.4% 23Offensive rebound %34.9% 76
34.3% 473-point %31.4% 141
64.5 356Pace72.2 136

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

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48%Fairleigh Dickinson
52%Baylor

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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