- Alabama State SWAC 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
- Auburn SEC 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ALST -0.7 |
| Total | n/a | 127.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ALST -106 AUB +106 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Alabama State can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.3 points to Alabama State in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Alabama State about 1.5 points stronger over recent games.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.4 points to Alabama State in our ratings.
- Strength: Alabama State rank 32nd of 364 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (42.2%).
- Team matchup: where Alabama State can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (36th of 364) meets the Auburn defensive rebounding (300th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (143rd of 364) meets the Auburn ball security (203rd): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition. Pace clash: Alabama State play fast (35th of 364 in pace), Auburn slow (253rd); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: no key position favors Alabama State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Clearia Peterson (8.0 pts, 7.3 reb, 0.2 ast, Game Score 6.6) leading the way.
- Simulation: Alabama State win 2,570 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Alabama State may not
- Home court: Auburn play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: Auburn 39th (+1.7), Alabama State 298th (-0.7) of 364.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Auburn 203rd (23.3), Alabama State 361st (31.1) of 364.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Alabama State lose by 16 or more.
- Team matchup: where Auburn can push back. Their ball pressure (19th of 364) meets the Alabama State ball security (361st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kaitlyn Duhon (Auburn: 10.0 pts, 4.5 reb, 0.9 ast, Game Score 8.6) has the edge on Clearia Peterson (Alabama State: 8.0 pts, 7.3 reb, 0.2 ast, Game Score 6.6).
- Upset odds: Auburn win 2,430 of 5,000 simulations (49%). A 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
ALST Alabama State
Every regular played last game.
AUB Auburn
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| ALST | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -10.3 271 | Net rating | -5.1 226 |
| 78.2 342 | Offensive rating | 85.2 260 |
| 88.5 109 | Defensive rating | 90.4 154 |
| -0.7 298 | Strength of schedule | +1.7 39 |
| 41.7% 301 | Effective FG% | 42.5% 281 |
| 42.2% 32 | Opponent eFG% | 47.7% 273 |
| 31.1 361 | Turnovers per 100 | 23.3 203 |
| 37.3% 36 | Offensive rebound % | 29.4% 242 |
| 26.6% 327 | 3-point % | 27.0% 314 |
| 75.9 35 | Pace | 69.6 253 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-26 | Alabama State 41 @ Auburn 82 | AUB |
| 2024-12-21 | 2024-25 | Alabama State 40 @ Auburn 83 | AUB |
| 2023-12-13 | 2023-24 | Alabama State 37 @ Auburn 94 | AUB |
| 2022-11-20 | 2022-23 | Alabama State 49 @ Auburn 88 | AUB |
| 2021-11-16 | 2021-22 | Alabama State 45 @ Auburn 74 | AUB |
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat