Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | OHIO -2.5 |
| Total | n/a | 144.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | ULM +139 OHIO -139 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Ohio can win
- Home court: Ohio play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Ohio's offense (94.1 points per 100 possessions, 142nd in Division I) meets a UL Monroe defense that ranks 219th.
- Strength: Ohio rank 31st of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (27.1).
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Ohio 106th (0.22), UL Monroe 228th (0.19) of 364.
- Team matchup: where Ohio can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (103rd of 364) meets the UL Monroe shooting defense (302nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (31st of 364) meets the UL Monroe ball security (227th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Bailey Tabeling (Ohio: 14.5 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 10.6) has the edge on Nakiyah Mays-Prince (UL Monroe: 11.2 pts, 2.8 reb, 4.7 ast, Game Score 7.6).
- Simulation: Ohio win 2,910 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Ohio may not
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to UL Monroe in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated UL Monroe about 1.3 points stronger over recent games.
- UL Monroe's shooting (44.4% eFG%, 212th in Division I) meets a Ohio defense that ranks 269th.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Ohio lose by 14 or more.
- Team matchup: where UL Monroe can push back. Their offensive rebounding (6th of 364) meets the Ohio defensive rebounding (322nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (66th of 364) meets the Ohio ball security (180th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Ohio on paper, but Nakiyah Mays-Prince (11.2 pts, 2.8 reb, 4.7 ast, Game Score 7.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: UL Monroe win 2,090 of 5,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
ULM UL Monroe
Every regular played last game.
OHIO Ohio
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| ULM | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +0.5 163 | Net rating | +2.1 149 |
| 93.4 145 | Offensive rating | 94.1 142 |
| 92.9 219 | Defensive rating | 92.0 197 |
| +0.2 143 | Strength of schedule | -0.0 185 |
| 44.4% 212 | Effective FG% | 47.7% 103 |
| 48.5% 302 | Opponent eFG% | 47.5% 269 |
| 23.8 227 | Turnovers per 100 | 22.9 180 |
| 41.4% 6 | Offensive rebound % | 29.8% 226 |
| 33.2% 76 | 3-point % | 32.1% 117 |
| 74.2 57 | Pace | 77.6 11 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat