Marshall @ Massachusetts
Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · Mullins Center
- Marshall Sun Belt 0-0, 9th · 0-0 overall
- Massachusetts MAC 0-0, 11th · 0-0 overall
Game day
No over/under yet · our total 132.3
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | MASS -0.8 |
| Total | n/a | 132.3 |
| Moneyline | n/a | MRSH +116 MASS -116 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Massachusetts can win
- Home court: Massachusetts play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Massachusetts's offense (97.4 points per 100 possessions, 86th in Division I) meets a Marshall defense that ranks 163rd.
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Massachusetts 223rd (67.1%), Marshall 354th (60.1%) of 364.
- Strength: Massachusetts rank 39th of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (26.7).
- Team matchup: where Massachusetts can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (57th of 364) meets the Marshall defensive rebounding (354th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (39th of 364) meets the Marshall ball security (127th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: no key position favors Massachusetts, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Megan Olbrys (13.9 pts, 7.8 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 12.5) leading the way.
- Simulation: Massachusetts win 2,685 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Massachusetts may not
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.6 points to Marshall in our ratings.
- Strength of schedule: Marshall 104th (+0.6), Massachusetts 262nd (-0.5) of 364.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.1 points to Marshall in our ratings.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Massachusetts lose by 16 or more.
- Team matchup: where Marshall can push back. Their offensive rebounding (115th of 364) meets the Massachusetts defensive rebounding (223rd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (41st of 364) meets the Massachusetts ball security (97th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Timaya Lewis-Eutsey (Marshall: 20.0 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.9 ast, Game Score 17.0) has the edge on Megan Olbrys (Massachusetts: 13.9 pts, 7.8 reb, 2.5 ast, Game Score 12.5).
- Upset odds: Marshall win 2,315 of 5,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
MRSH Marshall
Every regular played last game.
MASS Massachusetts
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| MRSH | MASS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +9.2 84 | Net rating | +12.0 69 |
| 100.0 60 | Offensive rating | 97.4 86 |
| 90.8 163 | Defensive rating | 85.4 48 |
| +0.6 104 | Strength of schedule | -0.5 262 |
| 49.5% 64 | Effective FG% | 47.2% 118 |
| 44.5% 117 | Opponent eFG% | 44.0% 88 |
| 21.6 127 | Turnovers per 100 | 20.7 97 |
| 33.2% 115 | Offensive rebound % | 35.9% 57 |
| 32.3% 107 | 3-point % | 31.0% 160 |
| 70.6 214 | Pace | 70.7 207 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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