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JMU

James Madison @ Miami (OH)

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · Millett Hall · MAC-SBC Challenge

M-OH
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
M-OHMiami (OH) RedHawks
54% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetM-OH -0.6
Totaln/a132.3
Moneylinen/aJMU +116
M-OH -116 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

M-OH 76, JMU 75Typical score
JMU by 15 to M-OH by 178 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Miami (OH) can win

  1. Home court: Miami (OH) play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Three-point shooting: Miami (OH) 26th (35.3%), James Madison 148th (31.2%) of 364.
  3. Strength: Miami (OH) rank 24th of 364 in effective shooting (eFG%) (51.5%).
  4. Strength: Miami (OH) rank 26th of 364 in three-point shooting (35.3%).
  5. Team matchup: where Miami (OH) can take advantage. Their ball pressure (27th of 364) meets the James Madison ball security (101st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Miami (OH), so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Amber Tretter (14.4 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 12.4) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Miami (OH) win 2,685 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Miami (OH) may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.8 points to James Madison in our ratings.
  2. Strength of schedule: James Madison 71st (+0.9), Miami (OH) 271st (-0.6) of 364.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.4 points to James Madison in our ratings.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Miami (OH) lose by 15 or more.
  5. Team matchup: where James Madison can push back. Their offensive rebounding (49th of 364) meets the Miami (OH) defensive rebounding (169th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Peyton McDaniel (James Madison: 18.8 pts, 7.5 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 14.9) has the edge on Amber Tretter (Miami (OH): 14.4 pts, 8.0 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 12.4).
  7. Upset odds: James Madison win 2,315 of 5,000 simulations (46%). A 54% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

JMU James Madison

Every regular played last game.

M-OH Miami (OH)

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

JMUM-OH
0-0Record0-0
+17.7 32Net rating+13.0 57
102.2 44Offensive rating97.6 84
84.5 36Defensive rating84.6 40
+0.9 71Strength of schedule-0.6 271
49.7% 59Effective FG%51.5% 24
42.5% 40Opponent eFG%43.9% 87
20.8 101Turnovers per 10022.3 153
36.3% 49Offensive rebound %25.3% 326
31.2% 1483-point %35.3% 26
72.6 114Pace71.0 189

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

46%James Madison
54%Miami (OH)

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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