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GASO

Georgia Southern @ Bowling Green

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · Stroh Center · MAC-SBC Challenge

BGSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
GASOGeorgia Southern Eagles
51% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetGASO -0.2
Totaln/a133.7
Moneylinen/aGASO -104
BGSU +104 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

BGSU 75, GASO 75Typical score
GASO by 16 to BGSU by 168 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Georgia Southern can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.4 points to Georgia Southern in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Georgia Southern 103rd (+7.4), Bowling Green 221st (-4.3) of 364.
  3. Georgia Southern's offense (99.2 points per 100 possessions, 66th in Division I) meets a Bowling Green defense that ranks 217th.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.4 points to Georgia Southern in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Georgia Southern can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (68th of 364) meets the Bowling Green shooting defense (283rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Shanti Simmons (Georgia Southern: 11.3 pts, 6.8 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 12.5) has the edge on Johnea Donahue (Bowling Green: 11.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 4.0 ast, Game Score 10.9).
  7. Simulation: Georgia Southern win 2,550 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Georgia Southern may not

  1. Home court: Bowling Green play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Georgia Southern lose by 16 or more.
  3. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Bowling Green 44th (26.5), Georgia Southern 184th (22.3) of 364.
  4. Weak spot: Georgia Southern rank 281st of 364 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (28.0%).
  5. Team matchup: Bowling Green have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Georgia Southern on paper, but Johnea Donahue (11.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 4.0 ast, Game Score 10.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Bowling Green win 2,450 of 5,000 simulations (49%). A 51% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

GASO Georgia Southern

Every regular played last game.

BGSU Bowling Green

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

GASOBGSU
0-0Record0-0
+7.4 103Net rating-4.3 221
99.2 66Offensive rating88.5 228
91.8 191Defensive rating92.8 217
+1.2 58Strength of schedule+0.1 157
49.4% 68Effective FG%43.1% 261
44.6% 120Opponent eFG%47.9% 283
19.8 67Turnovers per 10023.2 193
28.0% 281Offensive rebound %29.6% 235
32.6% 943-point %28.4% 281
70.3 228Pace73.7 71

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

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51%Georgia Southern
49%Bowling Green

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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