Coastal Carolina @ Western Michigan
Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · University Arena (MI) · MAC-SBC Challenge
- Coastal Carolina Sun Belt 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
- Western Michigan MAC 0-0, 12th · 0-0 overall
Game day
No over/under yet · our total 132.7
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | CCU -0.5 |
| Total | n/a | 132.7 |
| Moneyline | n/a | CCU -107 WMU +107 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Coastal Carolina can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.3 points to Coastal Carolina in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Coastal Carolina 139th (+2.6), Western Michigan 296th (-13.3) of 364.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.7 points to Coastal Carolina in our ratings.
- Strength of schedule: Coastal Carolina 122nd (+0.4), Western Michigan 297th (-0.7) of 364.
- Team matchup: where Coastal Carolina can take advantage. Their ball pressure (92nd of 364) meets the Western Michigan ball security (300th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (149th of 364) meets the Western Michigan shooting defense (263rd): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Coastal Carolina play fast (22nd of 364 in pace), Western Michigan slow (276th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kinsea Grimes (Coastal Carolina: 11.4 pts, 6.6 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.2) has the edge on Alli Carlson (Western Michigan: 10.2 pts, 4.2 reb, 4.4 ast, Game Score 6.7).
- Simulation: Coastal Carolina win 2,585 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Coastal Carolina may not
- Home court: Western Michigan play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Coastal Carolina lose by 16 or more.
- Weak spot: Coastal Carolina rank 270th of 364 in points allowed per game (68.8).
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Western Michigan 167th (69.0%), Coastal Carolina 240th (66.7%) of 364.
- Team matchup: Western Michigan have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Coastal Carolina on paper, but Alli Carlson (10.2 pts, 4.2 reb, 4.4 ast, Game Score 6.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Western Michigan win 2,415 of 5,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
CCU Coastal Carolina
Every regular played last game.
WMU Western Michigan
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| CCU | WMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +2.6 139 | Net rating | -13.3 296 |
| 92.6 158 | Offensive rating | 80.8 320 |
| 90.0 147 | Defensive rating | 94.1 242 |
| +0.4 122 | Strength of schedule | -0.7 297 |
| 46.1% 149 | Effective FG% | 43.5% 247 |
| 44.6% 123 | Opponent eFG% | 47.2% 263 |
| 24.1 243 | Turnovers per 100 | 25.6 300 |
| 32.8% 127 | Offensive rebound % | 25.4% 325 |
| 33.4% 64 | 3-point % | 29.1% 246 |
| 76.5 22 | Pace | 69.0 276 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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