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CCU

Coastal Carolina @ Western Michigan

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · University Arena (MI) · MAC-SBC Challenge

WMU
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 132.7

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
CCUCoastal Carolina Chanticleers
52% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetCCU -0.5
Totaln/a132.7
Moneylinen/aCCU -107
WMU +107 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

WMU 75, CCU 76Typical score
CCU by 17 to WMU by 168 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Coastal Carolina can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.3 points to Coastal Carolina in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Coastal Carolina 139th (+2.6), Western Michigan 296th (-13.3) of 364.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.7 points to Coastal Carolina in our ratings.
  4. Strength of schedule: Coastal Carolina 122nd (+0.4), Western Michigan 297th (-0.7) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Coastal Carolina can take advantage. Their ball pressure (92nd of 364) meets the Western Michigan ball security (300th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (149th of 364) meets the Western Michigan shooting defense (263rd): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Coastal Carolina play fast (22nd of 364 in pace), Western Michigan slow (276th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kinsea Grimes (Coastal Carolina: 11.4 pts, 6.6 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.2) has the edge on Alli Carlson (Western Michigan: 10.2 pts, 4.2 reb, 4.4 ast, Game Score 6.7).
  7. Simulation: Coastal Carolina win 2,585 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Coastal Carolina may not

  1. Home court: Western Michigan play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Coastal Carolina lose by 16 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Coastal Carolina rank 270th of 364 in points allowed per game (68.8).
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Western Michigan 167th (69.0%), Coastal Carolina 240th (66.7%) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: Western Michigan have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Coastal Carolina on paper, but Alli Carlson (10.2 pts, 4.2 reb, 4.4 ast, Game Score 6.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Western Michigan win 2,415 of 5,000 simulations (48%). A 52% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

CCU Coastal Carolina

Every regular played last game.

WMU Western Michigan

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

CCUWMU
0-0Record0-0
+2.6 139Net rating-13.3 296
92.6 158Offensive rating80.8 320
90.0 147Defensive rating94.1 242
+0.4 122Strength of schedule-0.7 297
46.1% 149Effective FG%43.5% 247
44.6% 123Opponent eFG%47.2% 263
24.1 243Turnovers per 10025.6 300
32.8% 127Offensive rebound %25.4% 325
33.4% 643-point %29.1% 246
76.5 22Pace69.0 276

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

52%Coastal Carolina
48%Western Michigan

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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