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NDSU

North Dakota State @ Gonzaga

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Summit vs Mountain West · · McCarthey Athletic Center

GONZ
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
GONZGonzaga Bulldogs
61% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 61% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetGONZ -3
Totaln/a137.6
Moneylinen/aNDSU +156
GONZ -156 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

GONZ 77, NDSU 74Typical score
NDSU by 13 to GONZ by 198 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Gonzaga can win

  1. Home court: Gonzaga play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Gonzaga 93rd (+0.7), North Dakota State 227th (-0.3) of 364.
  3. Strength: Gonzaga rank 1st of 364 in three-point shooting (39.2%).
  4. Strength: Gonzaga rank 16th of 364 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (39.5%).
  5. Team matchup: where Gonzaga can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (31st of 364) meets the North Dakota State shooting defense (134th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Gonzaga. The closest: at guard, Allie Turner (Gonzaga: 14.8 pts, 2.5 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 9.8) is about even with Marisa Frost (North Dakota State: 12.7 pts, 2.0 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 9.6).
  7. Simulation: Gonzaga win 3,045 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Gonzaga may not

  1. North Dakota State's offense (112.1 points per 100 possessions, 7th in Division I) meets a Gonzaga defense that ranks 169th.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.0 points to North Dakota State in our ratings.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): North Dakota State 10th (17.2), Gonzaga 246th (24.2) of 364.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.4 points to North Dakota State in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where North Dakota State can push back. Their shooting efficiency (18th of 364) meets the Gonzaga shooting defense (149th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Avery Koenen (North Dakota State: 19.4 pts, 10.8 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 19.1) has the edge on Lauren Whittaker (Gonzaga: 19.1 pts, 10.2 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 14.9).
  7. Upset odds: North Dakota State win 1,955 of 5,000 simulations (39%). A 61% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

NDSU North Dakota State

Every regular played last game.

GONZ Gonzaga

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

NDSUGONZ
0-0Record0-0
+24.8 11Net rating+12.8 60
112.1 7Offensive rating103.8 34
87.3 82Defensive rating91.0 169
-0.3 227Strength of schedule+0.7 93
52.6% 18Effective FG%51.2% 31
44.8% 134Opponent eFG%45.0% 149
17.2 10Turnovers per 10024.2 246
33.4% 107Offensive rebound %39.5% 16
35.7% 193-point %39.2% 1
69.4 265Pace71.5 169

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-072025-26Gonzaga 81 @ North Dakota State 66GONZ

What if?

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39%North Dakota State
61%Gonzaga

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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