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Hawai'i @ Oregon

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Mountain West vs Big Ten · · Matthew Knight Arena

ORE
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 131.3

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
OREOregon Ducks
60% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetORE -2.6
Totaln/a131.3
Moneylinen/aHAW +152
ORE -152 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

ORE 77, HAW 74Typical score
HAW by 13 to ORE by 198 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Oregon can win

  1. Home court: Oregon play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Oregon 82nd (20.3), Hawai'i 233rd (23.9) of 364.
  3. Strength of schedule: Oregon 29th (+2.0), Hawai'i 148th (+0.2) of 364.
  4. Strength: Oregon rank 29th of 364 in strength of schedule (+2.0).
  5. Team matchup: where Oregon can take advantage. Their ball pressure (102nd of 364) meets the Hawai'i ball security (233rd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. Pace clash: Oregon play fast (75th of 364 in pace), Hawai'i slow (293rd); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Elisa Mevius (Oregon: 12.5 pts, 1.5 reb, 3.0 ast, Game Score 12.7) has the edge on Saniyah Neverson (Hawai'i: 9.8 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.7).
  7. Simulation: Oregon win 3,020 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Oregon may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.1 points to Hawai'i in our ratings.
  2. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.3 points to Hawai'i in our ratings.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Oregon lose by 13 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Oregon rank 252nd of 364 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (29.1%).
  5. Team matchup: where Hawai'i can push back. Their shooting efficiency (88th of 364) meets the Oregon shooting defense (195th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Oregon on paper, but Saniyah Neverson (9.8 pts, 5.2 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.7) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Hawai'i win 1,980 of 5,000 simulations (40%). A 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

HAW Hawai'i

Every regular played last game.

ORE Oregon

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

HAWORE
0-0Record0-0
+9.1 85Net rating+11.9 70
93.7 143Offensive rating100.7 54
84.6 41Defensive rating88.8 119
+0.2 148Strength of schedule+2.0 29
48.6% 88Effective FG%50.7% 39
40.3% 8Opponent eFG%45.8% 195
23.9 233Turnovers per 10020.3 82
29.2% 247Offensive rebound %29.1% 252
34.8% 353-point %34.1% 53
68.5 293Pace73.6 75

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 3 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2017-12-222017-18Hawai'i 44 @ Oregon 85 (neutral)ORE
2016-11-262016-17Oregon 86 @ Hawai'i 49ORE
2012-11-232012-13Oregon 73 @ Hawai'i 85HAW

What if?

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40%Hawai'i
60%Oregon

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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