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FGCU

Florida Gulf Coast @ Indiana

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · ASUN vs Big Ten · · Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall

IU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
IUIndiana Hoosiers
58% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetIU -2.5
Totaln/a132.7
Moneylinen/aFGCU +139
IU -139 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

IU 77, FGCU 74Typical score
FGCU by 13 to IU by 198 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Indiana can win

  1. Home court: Indiana play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Three-point shooting: Indiana 5th (37.5%), Florida Gulf Coast 198th (30.1%) of 364.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Indiana 136th (21.9), Florida Gulf Coast 282nd (25.0) of 364.
  4. Indiana's offense (100.8 points per 100 possessions, 52nd in Division I) meets a Florida Gulf Coast defense that ranks 118th.
  5. Team matchup: where Indiana can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (12th of 364) meets the Florida Gulf Coast shooting defense (83rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Shay Ciezki (Indiana: 22.8 pts, 3.8 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 15.6) has the edge on Sinai Douglas (Florida Gulf Coast: 11.3 pts, 4.8 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 7.9); at forward, Zania Socka-Nguemen (Indiana: 11.8 pts, 8.7 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 8.7) has the edge on Nay Staton (Florida Gulf Coast: 10.4 pts, 5.6 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 6.1).
  7. Simulation: Indiana win 2,910 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Indiana may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.5 points to Florida Gulf Coast in our ratings.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Florida Gulf Coast about 1.4 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.1 points to Florida Gulf Coast in our ratings.
  4. Florida Gulf Coast's offense (88.5 points per 100 possessions, 227th in Division I) meets a Indiana defense that ranks 302nd.
  5. Team matchup: where Florida Gulf Coast can push back. Their shooting efficiency (115th of 364) meets the Indiana shooting defense (213th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Indiana on paper, but Sinai Douglas (11.3 pts, 4.8 reb, 3.5 ast, Game Score 7.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Florida Gulf Coast win 2,090 of 5,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

FGCU Florida Gulf Coast

Every regular played last game.

IU Indiana

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

FGCUIU
0-0Record0-0
-0.3 174Net rating+1.7 151
88.5 227Offensive rating100.8 52
88.8 118Defensive rating99.1 302
+0.6 99Strength of schedule+1.5 45
47.3% 115Effective FG%53.8% 12
43.9% 83Opponent eFG%46.1% 213
25.0 282Turnovers per 10021.9 136
26.8% 302Offensive rebound %23.4% 343
30.1% 1983-point %37.5% 5
68.4 294Pace70.8 200

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-252025-26Indiana 82 @ Florida Gulf Coast 64IU
2010-12-212010-11Indiana 69 @ Florida Gulf Coast 73FGCU

What if?

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42%Florida Gulf Coast
58%Indiana

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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