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MVSU

Mississippi Valley State @ Marquette

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · SWAC vs Big East · · Al McGuire Center

MARQ
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
MARQMarquette Golden Eagles
82% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 82% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetMARQ -11.1
Totaln/a135.4
Moneylinen/aMVSU +462
MARQ -462 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

MARQ 81, MVSU 69Typical score
MVSU by 6 to MARQ by 278 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Marquette can win

  1. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Marquette 124th (+4.8), Mississippi Valley State 344th (-23.5) of 364.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.6 points to Marquette in our ratings.
  3. Marquette's offense (97.2 points per 100 possessions, 93rd in Division I) meets a Mississippi Valley State defense that ranks 300th.
  4. Home court: Marquette play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  5. Team matchup: where Marquette can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (178th of 364) meets the Mississippi Valley State defensive rebounding (350th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (36th of 364) meets the Mississippi Valley State shooting defense (186th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Mississippi Valley State play fast (6th of 364 in pace), Marquette slow (277th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Halle Vice (Marquette: 13.7 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 11.7) has the edge on Jaeda Murphy (Mississippi Valley State: 9.3 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 5.2); at forward, Skylar Forbes (Marquette: 15.5 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 10.4) has the edge on Ariel Jefferson (Mississippi Valley State: 8.9 pts, 6.3 reb, 0.3 ast, Game Score 5.1).
  7. Simulation: Marquette win 4,110 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Marquette may not

  1. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Mississippi Valley State 35th (0.25), Marquette 291st (0.18) of 364.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Marquette lose by 6 or more.
  3. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Mississippi Valley State 181st (22.4), Marquette 312th (19.4) of 364.
  4. Weak spot: Marquette rank 312th of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.4).
  5. Team matchup: where Mississippi Valley State can push back. Their offensive rebounding (120th of 364) meets the Marquette defensive rebounding (176th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Marquette on paper, but Jaeda Murphy (9.3 pts, 4.0 reb, 3.6 ast, Game Score 5.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Mississippi Valley State win 890 of 5,000 simulations (18%). A 82% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

MVSU Mississippi Valley State

Every regular played last game.

MARQ Marquette

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

MVSUMARQ
0-0Record0-0
-23.5 344Net rating+4.8 124
75.6 351Offensive rating97.2 93
99.1 300Defensive rating92.4 208
-1.4 353Strength of schedule+0.5 108
37.6% 358Effective FG%50.8% 36
45.6% 186Opponent eFG%44.4% 111
27.7 340Turnovers per 10023.9 230
33.0% 120Offensive rebound %31.4% 178
22.8% 3633-point %35.5% 22
78.6 6Pace69.0 277

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2011-11-122011-12Mississippi Valley State 61 @ Marquette 69MARQ

What if?

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18%Mississippi Valley State
82%Marquette

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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