Game day
No over/under yet · our total 128.6
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | COLU -12.4 |
| Total | n/a | 128.6 |
| Moneyline | n/a | DAV +575 COLU -575 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Columbia can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.6 points to Columbia in our ratings.
- Home court: Columbia play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.7 points to Columbia in our ratings.
- Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Columbia 4th (41.5%), Davidson 198th (30.7%) of 364.
- Team matchup: where Columbia can take advantage. Their ball pressure (28th of 364) meets the Davidson ball security (174th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (57th of 364) meets the Davidson shooting defense (185th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: At forward, Susie Rafiu (Columbia: 9.1 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 7.6) has the edge on Ines Garcia Monje (Davidson: 5.2 pts, 4.9 reb, 2.2 ast, Game Score 4.7); best player against best player, Riley Weiss (Columbia: 20.1 pts, 3.1 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 12.8) has the edge on Charlise Dunn (Davidson: 15.3 pts, 7.4 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 11.1).
- Simulation: Columbia win 4,260 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Columbia may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Columbia lose by 4 or more.
- Weak spot: Columbia rank 292nd of 364 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.18).
- Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Davidson 41st (73.3%), Columbia 140th (69.8%) of 364.
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Team matchup: where Davidson can push back. Their ball pressure (64th of 364) meets the Columbia ball security (223rd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their shooting efficiency (72nd of 364) meets the Columbia shooting defense (129th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Columbia on paper, but Charlise Dunn (15.3 pts, 7.4 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 11.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Davidson win 740 of 5,000 simulations (15%). A 85% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
DAV Davidson
Every regular played last game.
COLU Columbia
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| DAV | COLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| +10.7 74 | Net rating | +18.6 28 |
| 95.7 120 | Offensive rating | 102.3 40 |
| 85.0 44 | Defensive rating | 83.7 27 |
| +0.4 124 | Strength of schedule | +1.0 65 |
| 49.2% 72 | Effective FG% | 49.9% 57 |
| 45.5% 185 | Opponent eFG% | 44.7% 129 |
| 22.8 174 | Turnovers per 100 | 23.8 223 |
| 30.7% 198 | Offensive rebound % | 41.5% 4 |
| 33.3% 65 | 3-point % | 32.0% 124 |
| 68.3 298 | Pace | 70.2 233 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | 2021-22 | Columbia 87 @ Davidson 78 | COLU |
| 2019-12-09 | 2019-20 | Davidson 60 @ Columbia 63 | COLU |
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