Eastern Illinois @ Drake
Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Ohio Valley vs Missouri Valley · · Knapp Center
- Eastern Illinois OVC 0-0, 1st · 0-0 overall
- Drake MVC 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | DRKE -11.7 |
| Total | n/a | 135.9 |
| Moneyline | n/a | EIU +520 DRKE -520 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Drake can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.5 points to Drake in our ratings.
- Drake's offense (97.3 points per 100 possessions, 88th in Division I) meets a Eastern Illinois defense that ranks 321st.
- Home court: Drake play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Drake 219th (-4.1), Eastern Illinois 341st (-21.0) of 364.
- Team matchup: where Drake can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (87th of 364) meets the Eastern Illinois shooting defense (305th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (102nd of 364) meets the Eastern Illinois defensive rebounding (193rd): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Abbie Aalsma (Drake: 15.4 pts, 3.0 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 9.4) has the edge on Sydney-James Desroches (Eastern Illinois: 10.4 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 6.6).
- Simulation: Drake win 4,195 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Drake may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Drake lose by 5 or more.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Eastern Illinois about 0.9 points stronger over recent games.
- Weak spot: Drake rank 362nd of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (16.1).
- Weak spot: Drake rank 331st of 364 in points allowed per game (74.2).
- Team matchup: Eastern Illinois have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Drake on paper, but Sydney-James Desroches (10.4 pts, 5.9 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 6.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Eastern Illinois win 805 of 5,000 simulations (16%). A 84% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
EIU Eastern Illinois
Every regular played last game.
DRKE Drake
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| EIU | DRKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -21.0 341 | Net rating | -4.1 219 |
| 79.7 328 | Offensive rating | 97.3 88 |
| 100.7 321 | Defensive rating | 101.4 330 |
| -0.1 201 | Strength of schedule | -0.4 236 |
| 40.9% 318 | Effective FG% | 48.6% 87 |
| 48.7% 305 | Opponent eFG% | 48.1% 290 |
| 24.2 248 | Turnovers per 100 | 22.4 159 |
| 25.1% 330 | Offensive rebound % | 33.6% 102 |
| 29.0% 255 | 3-point % | 30.8% 169 |
| 71.4 171 | Pace | 73.2 95 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | 2025-26 | Drake 83 @ Eastern Illinois 65 | DRKE |
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