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NOLA

LSU New Orleans @ Arkansas

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Southland vs SEC · · Bud Walton Arena

ARK
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
ARKArkansas Razorbacks
68% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetARK -5.6
Totaln/a145.5
Moneylinen/aNOLA +215
ARK -215 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

ARK 78, NOLA 72Typical score
NOLA by 11 to ARK by 228 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Arkansas can win

  1. Home court: Arkansas play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Arkansas's offense (91.6 points per 100 possessions, 176th in Division I) meets a LSU New Orleans defense that ranks 350th.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.0 points to Arkansas in our ratings.
  4. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Arkansas 248th (-7.2), LSU New Orleans 352nd (-25.8) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Arkansas can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (180th of 364) meets the LSU New Orleans defensive rebounding (355th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (217th of 364) meets the LSU New Orleans shooting defense (349th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Taleyah Jones (Arkansas: 17.1 pts, 4.3 reb, 2.0 ast, Game Score 11.8) has the edge on Lauren Banks (LSU New Orleans: 9.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 6.0); at forward, Jenna Lawrence (Arkansas: 7.4 pts, 3.6 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 5.2) has the edge on Hailee Brennen (LSU New Orleans: 5.1 pts, 3.5 reb, 0.4 ast, Game Score 3.3).
  7. Simulation: Arkansas win 3,415 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Arkansas may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated LSU New Orleans about 3.3 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Arkansas lose by 11 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Arkansas rank 348th of 364 in points allowed per game (76.0).
  4. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: LSU New Orleans 188th (22.3), Arkansas 306th (19.5) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: LSU New Orleans have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Arkansas on paper, but Lauren Banks (9.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 6.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: LSU New Orleans win 1,585 of 5,000 simulations (32%). A 68% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

NOLA LSU New Orleans

Every regular played last game.

ARK Arkansas

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

NOLAARK
0-0Record0-0
-25.8 352Net rating-7.2 248
79.0 333Offensive rating91.6 176
104.8 350Defensive rating98.8 299
+0.4 125Strength of schedule+2.1 21
38.7% 350Effective FG%44.2% 217
50.5% 349Opponent eFG%47.8% 280
25.0 283Turnovers per 10021.6 126
30.7% 200Offensive rebound %31.2% 180
25.0% 3513-point %32.0% 121
77.5 12Pace76.9 16

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2019-11-082019-20New Orleans 52 @ Arkansas 82ARK
2015-12-302015-16New Orleans 41 @ Arkansas 73ARK

What if?

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32%LSU New Orleans
68%Arkansas

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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