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TNTC

Tennessee Tech @ Butler

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · SoCon vs Big East · · Hinkle Fieldhouse

BTLR
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 129.6

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
BTLRButler Bulldogs
57% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 57% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetBTLR -1.8
Totaln/a129.6
Moneylinen/aTNTC +133
BTLR -133 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

BTLR 76, TNTC 74Typical score
TNTC by 14 to BTLR by 188 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Butler can win

  1. Home court: Butler play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Butler 116th (+0.5), Tennessee Tech 288th (-0.6) of 364.
  3. Strength: Butler rank 89th of 364 in effective shooting (eFG%) (48.5%).
  4. Relative strength: Butler rank 116th of 364 in strength of schedule (+0.5).
  5. Team matchup: where Butler can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (89th of 364) meets the Tennessee Tech shooting defense (288th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Butler, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Saniya Jackson (9.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.2) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Butler win 2,850 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Butler may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Tennessee Tech about 2.1 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.9 points to Tennessee Tech in our ratings.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Tennessee Tech 144th (22.1), Butler 307th (25.9) of 364.
  4. Tennessee Tech's offense (92.7 points per 100 possessions, 155th in Division I) meets a Butler defense that ranks 229th.
  5. Team matchup: where Tennessee Tech can push back. Their offensive rebounding (22nd of 364) meets the Butler defensive rebounding (181st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (177th of 364) meets the Butler ball security (307th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, LaReesha Cawthorn (Tennessee Tech: 9.8 pts, 10.0 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 9.3) has the edge on Caroline Dotsey (Butler: 7.6 pts, 4.6 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 4.8); best player against best player, Reghan Grimes (Tennessee Tech: 13.5 pts, 6.5 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 9.6) has the edge on Saniya Jackson (Butler: 9.2 pts, 5.5 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.2).
  7. Upset odds: Tennessee Tech win 2,150 of 5,000 simulations (43%). A 57% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

TNTC Tennessee Tech

Every regular played last game.

BTLR Butler

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

TNTCBTLR
0-0Record0-0
-0.5 179Net rating-4.0 218
92.7 155Offensive rating89.5 203
93.3 224Defensive rating93.5 229
-0.6 288Strength of schedule+0.5 116
42.0% 298Effective FG%48.5% 89
48.1% 288Opponent eFG%46.4% 236
22.1 144Turnovers per 10025.9 307
38.4% 22Offensive rebound %26.8% 302
30.9% 1623-point %31.7% 128
69.3 268Pace69.5 261

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

43%Tennessee Tech
57%Butler

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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