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#13 Notre Dame vs Villanova

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · ACC vs Big East · · Palazzo dello Sport · Eternal City Tip-Off

VILL
Rankings and standings
Tipped off. The numbers below are from before the game.

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 134.2

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
NDNotre Dame Fighting Irish
67% to win
Model

We didn't catch a betting line before this game started, so there is no market number to compare against.

Not a promise: a 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetND -5.2
Totaln/a134.2
Moneylinen/aND -201
VILL +201 fair

We didn't catch a betting line before this game started, so there is no market number to compare against.

5,000 simulated games

VILL 73, ND 78Typical score
ND by 21 to VILL by 118 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Notre Dame can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.2 points to Notre Dame in our ratings.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Notre Dame about 2.8 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.1 points to Notre Dame in our ratings.
  4. AP poll: Notre Dame are ranked No. 13; Villanova are unranked.
  5. Team matchup: where Notre Dame can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (32nd of 364) meets the Villanova shooting defense (163rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Hannah Hidalgo (Notre Dame: 25.2 pts, 6.9 reb, 5.2 ast, Game Score 22.5) has the edge on Jasmine Bascoe (Villanova: 18.9 pts, 4.0 reb, 4.8 ast, Game Score 12.0).
  7. Simulation: Notre Dame win 3,335 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Notre Dame may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Notre Dame lose by 11 or more.
  2. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Villanova 50th (73.1%), Notre Dame 145th (69.7%) of 364.
  3. Weak spot: Notre Dame rank 264th of 364 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (47.3%).
  4. Weak spot: Notre Dame rank 249th of 364 in offensive rebounding (share of misses) (29.2%).
  5. Team matchup: where Villanova can push back. Their shooting efficiency (45th of 364) meets the Notre Dame shooting defense (264th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Brynn McCurry (Villanova: 10.7 pts, 5.3 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 9.7) has the edge on Malaya Cowles (Notre Dame: 7.9 pts, 5.3 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 7.0).
  7. Upset odds: Villanova win 1,665 of 5,000 simulations (33%). A 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

ND Notre Dame

Every regular played last game.

VILL Villanova

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

NDVILL
0-0Record0-0
+16.2 35Net rating+14.1 49
104.3 33Offensive rating100.1 57
88.1 101Defensive rating86.1 55
+2.7 10Strength of schedule+1.5 43
51.1% 32Effective FG%50.5% 45
47.3% 264Opponent eFG%45.3% 163
17.9 20Turnovers per 10019.0 47
29.2% 249Offensive rebound %27.4% 289
34.8% 333-point %34.3% 50
73.9 67Pace71.2 176

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2018-03-18PostseasonVillanova 72 @ Notre Dame 98 (neutral)ND
2013-02-052012-13Notre Dame 59 @ Villanova 52ND
2012-01-212011-12Villanova 43 @ Notre Dame 76ND
2011-01-292010-11Notre Dame 58 @ Villanova 43ND
2010-01-092009-10Villanova 46 @ Notre Dame 81ND

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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