Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | IOWA -14.2 |
| Total | n/a | 137.8 |
| Moneyline | n/a | TOW +834 IOWA -834 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Iowa can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 3.8 points to Iowa in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Iowa about 2.9 points stronger over recent games.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Iowa 43rd (+15.1), Towson 197th (-2.0) of 364.
- Home court: Iowa play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where Iowa can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (144th of 364) meets the Towson defensive rebounding (257th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (14th of 364) meets the Towson shooting defense (73rd): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: At forward, Hannah Stuelke (Iowa: 13.4 pts, 9.0 reb, 2.9 ast, Game Score 12.4) has the edge on Kayla Morris (Towson: 4.5 pts, 6.1 reb, 0.6 ast, Game Score 5.1); best player against best player, Ava Heiden (Iowa: 18.0 pts, 7.2 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 14.6) has the edge on India Johnston (Towson: 16.0 pts, 2.2 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 10.1).
- Simulation: Iowa win 4,465 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Iowa may not
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Iowa lose by 2 or more.
- Weak spot: Iowa rank 255th of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (20.9).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Team matchup: Towson have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Iowa on paper, but India Johnston (16.0 pts, 2.2 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 10.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Towson win 535 of 5,000 simulations (11%). A 89% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.
Loading…
Sign in or create a free account to ask.
AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.
Team news
Loading the latest headlines...
Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
TOW Towson
Every regular played last game.
IOWA Iowa
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| TOW | IOWA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -2.0 197 | Net rating | +15.1 43 |
| 91.6 175 | Offensive rating | 104.7 30 |
| 93.6 230 | Defensive rating | 89.6 137 |
| -0.3 219 | Strength of schedule | +3.5 4 |
| 43.6% 243 | Effective FG% | 53.7% 14 |
| 43.8% 73 | Opponent eFG% | 46.4% 228 |
| 20.4 87 | Turnovers per 100 | 20.7 98 |
| 31.4% 175 | Offensive rebound % | 32.3% 144 |
| 31.0% 157 | 3-point % | 34.8% 34 |
| 71.2 173 | Pace | 72.8 108 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-28 | 2019-20 | Towson 72 @ Iowa 100 (neutral) | IOWA |
Your pick
Picks lock at kickoff. Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What if?
Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.
Our number.
Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works
Game chat
Sign in or create a free account to chat.
Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat