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MILW

Milwaukee @ Northwestern

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Horizon vs Big Ten · · Welsh-Ryan Arena

NU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
NUNorthwestern Wildcats
53% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetNU -0.3
Totaln/a136.4
Moneylinen/aMILW +112
NU -112 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

NU 75, MILW 75Typical score
MILW by 16 to NU by 168 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Northwestern can win

  1. Home court: Northwestern play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Northwestern 37th (+1.7), Milwaukee 328th (-1.0) of 364.
  3. Northwestern's offense (92.1 points per 100 possessions, 164th in Division I) meets a Milwaukee defense that ranks 319th.
  4. Strength: Northwestern rank 37th of 364 in strength of schedule (+1.7).
  5. Team matchup: where Northwestern can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (120th of 364) meets the Milwaukee shooting defense (266th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Grace Sullivan (Northwestern: 21.4 pts, 6.1 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 14.0) has the edge on Jorey Buwalda (Milwaukee: 12.1 pts, 8.7 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.9); at guard, Caroline Lau (Northwestern: 8.8 pts, 5.5 reb, 8.4 ast, Game Score 7.3) has the edge on Grace Lomen (Milwaukee: 10.7 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 5.9).
  7. Simulation: Northwestern win 2,645 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Northwestern may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Milwaukee about 4.2 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Milwaukee's offense (85.8 points per 100 possessions, 255th in Division I) meets a Northwestern defense that ranks 357th.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.2 points to Milwaukee in our ratings.
  4. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Milwaukee 81st (72.0%), Northwestern 306th (64.8%) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Milwaukee can push back. Their shooting efficiency (177th of 364) meets the Northwestern shooting defense (343rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Northwestern on paper, but Jorey Buwalda (12.1 pts, 8.7 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 8.9) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Milwaukee win 2,355 of 5,000 simulations (47%). A 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

MILW Milwaukee

Every regular played last game.

NU Northwestern

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

MILWNU
0-0Record0-0
-14.6 307Net rating-14.8 309
85.8 255Offensive rating92.1 164
100.5 319Defensive rating106.9 357
-1.0 328Strength of schedule+1.7 37
45.1% 177Effective FG%47.2% 120
47.4% 266Opponent eFG%50.2% 343
23.6 218Turnovers per 10022.3 149
25.7% 317Offensive rebound %28.4% 271
32.7% 833-point %30.6% 179
69.5 255Pace71.0 191

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 4 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2021-12-142021-22Milwaukee 46 @ Northwestern 55NU
2017-12-032017-18Milwaukee 66 @ Northwestern 57MILW
2016-12-112016-17Northwestern 65 @ Milwaukee 63NU
2015-12-062015-16Milwaukee 44 @ Northwestern 69NU

What if?

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47%Milwaukee
53%Northwestern

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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