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IUIN

IU Indianapolis @ Purdue

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Horizon vs Big Ten · · Mackey Arena

PUR
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
PURPurdue Boilermakers
58% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetPUR -2.1
Totaln/a138.3
Moneylinen/aIUIN +136
PUR -136 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

PUR 76, IUIN 74Typical score
IUIN by 14 to PUR by 198 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Purdue can win

  1. Home court: Purdue play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Purdue's offense (97.0 points per 100 possessions, 99th in Division I) meets a IU Indianapolis defense that ranks 271st.
  3. Strength of schedule: Purdue 20th (+2.1), IU Indianapolis 229th (-0.3) of 364.
  4. Three-point shooting: Purdue 71st (33.2%), IU Indianapolis 304th (27.5%) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Purdue can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (75th of 364) meets the IU Indianapolis shooting defense (333rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (164th of 364) meets the IU Indianapolis defensive rebounding (318th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Tara Daye (Purdue: 12.4 pts, 6.5 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 9.7) has the edge on Hailey Smith (IU Indianapolis: 10.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 8.2).
  7. Simulation: Purdue win 2,880 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Purdue may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated IU Indianapolis about 2.8 points stronger over recent games.
  2. IU Indianapolis's offense (89.0 points per 100 possessions, 213th in Division I) meets a Purdue defense that ranks 324th.
  3. Recent scoring margins: worth about 1.1 points to IU Indianapolis in our ratings.
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): IU Indianapolis 11th (0.28), Purdue 276th (0.18) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where IU Indianapolis can push back. Their shooting efficiency (229th of 364) meets the Purdue shooting defense (347th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (56th of 364) meets the Purdue ball security (135th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Purdue on paper, but Hailey Smith (10.1 pts, 5.8 reb, 2.1 ast, Game Score 8.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: IU Indianapolis win 2,120 of 5,000 simulations (42%). A 58% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

IUIN IU Indianapolis

Every regular played last game.

PUR Purdue

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

IUINPUR
0-0Record0-0
-7.2 247Net rating-3.9 216
89.0 213Offensive rating97.0 99
96.2 271Defensive rating100.9 324
-0.3 229Strength of schedule+2.1 20
44.0% 229Effective FG%49.1% 75
49.8% 333Opponent eFG%50.5% 347
22.7 171Turnovers per 10021.8 135
28.2% 278Offensive rebound %31.7% 164
27.5% 3043-point %33.2% 71
72.9 102Pace71.6 161

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2024-11-142024-25IU Indianapolis 64 @ Purdue 83PUR
2018-03-15PostseasonPurdue 48 @ IUPUI 46PUR
2016-12-212016-17IUPUI 67 @ Purdue 62IUIN
2013-11-132013-14Purdue 76 @ IUPUI 56PUR
2012-12-212012-13IUPUI 53 @ Purdue 78PUR

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

42%IU Indianapolis
58%Purdue

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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