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CSUF

Cal State Fullerton @ San Diego State

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · WAC vs Mountain West · · Viejas Arena

SDSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
SDSUSan Diego State Aztecs
78% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetSDSU -9.3
Totaln/a136.5
Moneylinen/aCSUF +364
SDSU -364 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

SDSU 80, CSUF 70Typical score
CSUF by 7 to SDSU by 258 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why San Diego State can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.7 points to San Diego State in our ratings.
  2. Home court: San Diego State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  3. Three-point shooting: San Diego State 16th (36.2%), Cal State Fullerton 341st (25.8%) of 364.
  4. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): San Diego State 64th (+12.4), Cal State Fullerton 141st (+2.6) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where San Diego State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (28th of 364) meets the Cal State Fullerton shooting defense (351st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. Pace clash: Cal State Fullerton play fast (18th of 364 in pace), San Diego State slow (289th); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors San Diego State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Nala Williams (10.0 pts, 4.3 reb, 4.2 ast, Game Score 9.5) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: San Diego State win 3,925 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why San Diego State may not

  1. Offensive rebounding (share of misses): Cal State Fullerton 8th (41.0%), San Diego State 328th (25.1%) of 364.
  2. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Cal State Fullerton 4th (32.9), San Diego State 280th (20.1) of 364.
  3. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Cal State Fullerton about 0.9 points stronger over recent games.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations San Diego State lose by 7 or more.
  5. Team matchup: Cal State Fullerton have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Cristina Jones (Cal State Fullerton: 16.5 pts, 9.9 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 13.7) has the edge on Nala Williams (San Diego State: 10.0 pts, 4.3 reb, 4.2 ast, Game Score 9.5).
  7. Upset odds: Cal State Fullerton win 1,075 of 5,000 simulations (21%). A 78% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

CSUF Cal State Fullerton

Every regular played last game.

SDSU San Diego State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

CSUFSDSU
0-0Record0-0
+2.6 141Net rating+12.4 64
91.1 185Offensive rating101.0 50
88.5 108Defensive rating88.6 111
-0.6 284Strength of schedule+0.3 138
40.7% 322Effective FG%51.2% 28
50.8% 351Opponent eFG%43.9% 82
22.7 172Turnovers per 10018.4 28
41.0% 8Offensive rebound %25.1% 328
25.8% 3413-point %36.2% 16
76.5 18Pace68.6 289

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2024-12-112024-25San Diego State 61 @ Cal State Fullerton 58SDSU
2021-11-162021-22San Diego State 56 @ Cal State Fullerton 60CSUF
2019-11-172019-20Cal State Fullerton 45 @ San Diego State 55SDSU
2018-11-152018-19San Diego State 83 @ Cal State Fullerton 72SDSU
2017-11-182017-18Cal State Fullerton 58 @ San Diego State 59SDSU

What if?

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21%Cal State Fullerton
78%San Diego State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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