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PEPP

Pepperdine @ Portland State

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · WCC vs Big Sky · · Viking Pavilion

PRST
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
PEPPPepperdine Waves
69% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 69% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetPEPP -5.8
Totaln/a138.6
Moneylinen/aPEPP -220
PRST +220 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

PRST 72, PEPP 78Typical score
PEPP by 22 to PRST by 118 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Pepperdine can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 8.6 points to Pepperdine in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Pepperdine 131st (+4.0), Portland State 326th (-17.3) of 364.
  3. Pepperdine's offense (96.6 points per 100 possessions, 103rd in Division I) meets a Portland State defense that ranks 347th.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.9 points to Pepperdine in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Pepperdine can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (41st of 364) meets the Portland State shooting defense (312th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Elli Guiney (Pepperdine: 15.0 pts, 3.9 reb, 2.7 ast, Game Score 10.5) has the edge on Kyleigh Brown (Portland State: 16.7 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 8.1).
  7. Simulation: Pepperdine win 3,435 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Pepperdine may not

  1. Home court: Portland State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Pepperdine lose by 11 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Pepperdine rank 336th of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (18.4).
  4. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Portland State 41st (0.24), Pepperdine 179th (0.20) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: Portland State have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Pepperdine on paper, but Kyleigh Brown (16.7 pts, 3.5 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 8.1) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Portland State win 1,565 of 5,000 simulations (31%). A 69% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

PEPP Pepperdine

Every regular played last game.

PRST Portland State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

PEPPPRST
0-0Record0-0
+4.0 131Net rating-17.3 326
96.6 103Offensive rating86.5 248
92.6 213Defensive rating103.8 347
-0.4 244Strength of schedule-0.3 226
50.6% 41Effective FG%42.6% 279
44.3% 103Opponent eFG%48.9% 312
22.8 176Turnovers per 10023.8 228
27.7% 283Offensive rebound %29.8% 227
34.4% 453-point %26.3% 333
72.7 112Pace72.7 111

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2022-12-032022-23Portland State 59 @ Pepperdine 65PEPP
2021-12-102021-22Pepperdine 71 @ Portland State 75PRST

What if?

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69%Pepperdine
31%Portland State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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