21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
LIN

Lindenwood @ Denver

NCAAW · · Hamilton Gymnasium

DEN

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
LINLindenwood Lions
70% to win
ModelLIN 70%DEN 30%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 70% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetLIN -6
Totaln/a129.6
Moneylinen/aLIN -231
DEN +231 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
DEN 72, LIN 78
8 in 10 games
LIN by 22 to DEN by 10
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Lindenwood can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 8.6 points to Lindenwood in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Lindenwood 67th (+12.2), Denver 305th (-14.6) of 363.
  3. Lindenwood's offense (105.8 points per 100 possessions, 25th in Division I) meets a Denver defense that ranks 290th.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.2 points to Lindenwood in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Lindenwood can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (15th of 363) meets the Denver shooting defense (327th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (143rd of 363) meets the Denver ball security (233rd): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Aleshia Jones (Lindenwood: 15.3 pts, 4.7 reb, 2.3 ast, Game Score 12.5) has the edge on Laia Monclova (Denver: 9.2 pts, 5.0 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 5.7).
  7. Simulation: Lindenwood win 3,490 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Lindenwood may not

  1. Home court: Denver play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Lindenwood lose by 10 or more.
  3. Strength of schedule: Denver 152nd (+0.2), Lindenwood 263rd (-0.7) of 363.
  4. Weak spot: Lindenwood rank 298th of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (48.3%).
  5. Team matchup: Denver have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Brooke Murrell (Denver: 5.8 pts, 5.9 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 5.3) has the edge on Alyssa Nielsen (Lindenwood: 4.6 pts, 2.1 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 3.2).
  7. Upset odds: Denver win 1,510 of 5,000 simulations (30%). A 70% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

LIN Lindenwood

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

DEN Denver

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

LINDEN
0-1Record0-1
+12.2 67Net rating-14.6 305
105.8 25Offensive rating82.7 297
93.6 227Defensive rating97.3 290
-0.7 263Strength of schedule+0.2 152
53.3% 15Effective FG%42.8% 273
48.3% 298Opponent eFG%49.6% 327
19.7 63Turnovers per 10024.0 233
29.8% 235Offensive rebound %24.9% 330
37.5% 53-point %28.2% 281
67.3 323Pace70.1 235

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Lindenwood70%
30%Denver

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat