Game day
No over/under yet · our total 133.1
- Tip-off
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | HAMP -1.2 |
| Total | n/a | 133.1 |
| Moneyline | n/a | HAMP -123 HOU +123 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Hampton can win
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Hampton about 4.0 points stronger over recent games.
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.7 points to Hampton in our ratings.
- Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Hampton 113th (21.2), Houston 274th (24.9) of 364.
- Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 0.9 points to Hampton in our ratings.
- Team matchup: where Hampton can take advantage. Their ball pressure (123rd of 364) meets the Houston ball security (274th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (222nd of 364) meets the Houston defensive rebounding (290th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances. Pace clash: Houston play fast (43rd of 364 in pace), Hampton slow (301st); whoever sets the tempo gets the game they want.
- Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Hampton. The closest: best player against best player, TK Pitts (Houston: 9.5 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 8.0) is about even with Le'Asia Foreman (Hampton: 6.1 pts, 6.7 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 7.4).
- Simulation: Hampton win 2,755 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Hampton may not
- Home court: Houston play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Strength of schedule: Houston 28th (+2.0), Hampton 191st (-0.1) of 364.
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Houston 70th (0.23), Hampton 335th (0.16) of 364.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Hampton lose by 15 or more.
- Team matchup: where Houston can push back. Their offensive rebounding (240th of 364) meets the Hampton defensive rebounding (357th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Hampton on paper, but TK Pitts (9.5 pts, 7.0 reb, 1.5 ast, Game Score 8.0) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Houston win 2,245 of 5,000 simulations (45%). A 55% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
HAMP Hampton
Every regular played last game.
HOU Houston
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| HAMP | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -11.7 284 | Net rating | -16.0 317 |
| 84.5 272 | Offensive rating | 81.4 313 |
| 96.2 273 | Defensive rating | 97.4 290 |
| -0.1 191 | Strength of schedule | +2.0 28 |
| 40.7% 323 | Effective FG% | 40.4% 334 |
| 46.6% 246 | Opponent eFG% | 49.7% 328 |
| 21.2 113 | Turnovers per 100 | 24.9 274 |
| 30.0% 222 | Offensive rebound % | 29.5% 240 |
| 28.4% 280 | 3-point % | 26.6% 326 |
| 68.2 301 | Pace | 75.2 43 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
These teams have not met since 2009.
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