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UAPB

Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas A&M

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · SWAC vs SEC · · Reed Arena

TA&M
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
TA&MTexas A&M Aggies
59% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetTA&M -2.5
Totaln/a133.2
Moneylinen/aUAPB +142
TA&M -142 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

TA&M 76, UAPB 74Typical score
UAPB by 14 to TA&M by 198 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Texas A&M can win

  1. Home court: Texas A&M play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Texas A&M 30th (+1.9), Arkansas-Pine Bluff 347th (-1.3) of 364.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Texas A&M 215th (-3.9), Arkansas-Pine Bluff 288th (-11.9) of 364.
  4. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Texas A&M 211th (23.5), Arkansas-Pine Bluff 305th (25.9) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Texas A&M can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (160th of 364) meets the Arkansas-Pine Bluff defensive rebounding (339th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (190th of 364) meets the Arkansas-Pine Bluff ball security (305th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Ny'Ceara Pryor (Texas A&M: 16.3 pts, 4.1 reb, 7.0 ast, Game Score 13.8) has the edge on Jailah Pelly (Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 12.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 8.5); at forward, Fatmata Janneh (Texas A&M: 11.4 pts, 9.7 reb, 1.1 ast, Game Score 8.9) has the edge on Khaniah Gardner (Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 8.6 pts, 6.5 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 6.4).
  7. Simulation: Texas A&M win 2,935 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Texas A&M may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Arkansas-Pine Bluff about 3.1 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Texas A&M lose by 14 or more.
  3. Weak spot: Texas A&M rank 254th of 364 in effective shooting (eFG%) (43.3%).
  4. Weak spot: Texas A&M rank 252nd of 364 in defensive rebounding (share of misses) (66.6%).
  5. Team matchup: where Arkansas-Pine Bluff can push back. Their offensive rebounding (98th of 364) meets the Texas A&M defensive rebounding (252nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (86th of 364) meets the Texas A&M ball security (211th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Texas A&M on paper, but Jailah Pelly (12.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 3.1 ast, Game Score 8.5) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Arkansas-Pine Bluff win 2,065 of 5,000 simulations (41%). A 59% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

UAPB Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Every regular played last game.

TA&M Texas A&M

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

UAPBTA&M
0-0Record0-0
-11.9 288Net rating-3.9 215
83.4 289Offensive rating88.5 225
95.3 261Defensive rating92.4 210
-1.3 347Strength of schedule+1.9 30
42.2% 289Effective FG%43.3% 254
47.0% 257Opponent eFG%44.8% 135
25.9 305Turnovers per 10023.5 211
33.9% 98Offensive rebound %31.9% 160
28.7% 2673-point %29.2% 240
72.3 129Pace73.1 96

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

41%Arkansas-Pine Bluff
59%Texas A&M

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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