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JAX

Jacksonville @ Florida International

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · ASUN vs Conference USA · · Ocean Bank Convocation Center

FIU
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
FIUFlorida International Panthers
64% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetFIU -4
Totaln/a143.5
Moneylinen/aJAX +175
FIU -175 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

FIU 77, JAX 73Typical score
JAX by 12 to FIU by 208 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Florida International can win

  1. Home court: Florida International play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Florida International about 1.3 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Strength: Florida International rank 7th of 364 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.28).
  4. Strength: Florida International rank 10th of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (29.5).
  5. Team matchup: where Florida International can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (44th of 364) meets the Jacksonville defensive rebounding (179th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (10th of 364) meets the Jacksonville ball security (95th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Rhema Collins (Florida International: 17.7 pts, 8.9 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 14.7) has the edge on Priscilla Williams (Jacksonville: 15.1 pts, 8.3 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 10.6).
  7. Simulation: Florida International win 3,185 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Florida International may not

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.9 points to Jacksonville in our ratings.
  2. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Jacksonville 95th (20.5), Florida International 318th (26.3) of 364.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Florida International lose by 12 or more.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 0.9 points to Jacksonville in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Jacksonville can push back. Their ball pressure (82nd of 364) meets the Florida International ball security (318th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition. And their offensive rebounding (218th of 364) meets the Florida International defensive rebounding (297th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Florida International on paper, but Priscilla Williams (15.1 pts, 8.3 reb, 2.4 ast, Game Score 10.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Jacksonville win 1,815 of 5,000 simulations (36%). A 64% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

JAX Jacksonville

Every regular played last game.

FIU Florida International

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

JAXFIU
0-0Record0-0
+3.8 132Net rating+2.4 146
92.9 150Offensive rating90.6 191
89.1 128Defensive rating88.3 101
-0.0 188Strength of schedule-0.4 248
44.0% 231Effective FG%44.8% 194
45.5% 177Opponent eFG%47.4% 267
20.5 95Turnovers per 10026.3 318
30.1% 218Offensive rebound %36.7% 44
29.5% 2303-point %29.4% 232
77.8 10Pace75.7 36

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-222025-26Florida International 69 @ Jacksonville 80JAX
2024-11-132024-25Jacksonville 72 @ Florida International 54JAX
2023-12-012023-24Jacksonville 81 @ Florida International 88FIU
2022-11-192022-23Florida International 71 @ Jacksonville 82JAX
2021-11-302021-22Jacksonville 35 @ Florida International 33JAX

What if?

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36%Jacksonville
64%Florida International

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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