- Detroit Mercy 1-0 · Horizon 0-0, 2nd · W1
- Illinois AP #23 · 0-0 · Big Ten 0-0, 12th
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | ILL -16.8 |
| Total | n/a | 139.6 |
| Moneyline | n/a | DETM +1135 ILL -1135 fair |
No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.
5,000 simulated games
- Typical score
- ILL 83, DETM 66
- 8 in 10 games
- ILL by 1 to ILL by 33
Advantages Why Illinois can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.7 points to Illinois in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Illinois 45th (+14.6), Detroit Mercy 305th (-14.4) of 363.
- Illinois's offense (106.9 points per 100 possessions, 22nd in Division I) meets a Detroit Mercy defense that ranks 314th.
- Home court: Illinois play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where Illinois can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (52nd of 363) meets the Detroit Mercy shooting defense (349th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Berry Wallace (Illinois: 18.4 pts, 6.2 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 12.9) has the edge on Jasmine Edwards (Detroit Mercy: 11.9 pts, 8.4 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 9.2); at guard, Gretchen Dolan (Illinois: 12.9 pts, 3.4 reb, 2.8 ast, Game Score 8.7) has the edge on Aaliyah McQueen (Detroit Mercy: 10.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 5.8).
- Simulation: Illinois win 4,595 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Illinois may not
- Weak spot: Illinois rank 249th of 363 in shooting allowed (opponent eFG%) (46.8%).
- Shooting variance: one hot or cold night from three swings college games by 10 points or more.
- Who plays: women's college basketball has no league-wide injury report, so a late absence can arrive at tip-off.
- Young rosters: freshmen and transfers can change a team's level from one month to the next.
- Team matchup: Detroit Mercy have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Illinois on paper, but Jasmine Edwards (11.9 pts, 8.4 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 9.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Detroit Mercy win 405 of 5,000 simulations (8%). A 92% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
DETM Detroit Mercy
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
ILL Illinois
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideRankings
| DETM | ILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -14.4 305 | Net rating | +14.6 45 |
| 85.9 254 | Offensive rating | 106.9 22 |
| 100.3 314 | Defensive rating | 92.3 204 |
| -0.7 273 | Strength of schedule | +1.8 57 |
| 42.6% 280 | Effective FG% | 50.1% 52 |
| 50.6% 349 | Opponent eFG% | 46.8% 249 |
| 22.3 151 | Turnovers per 100 | 17.3 12 |
| 29.3% 245 | Offensive rebound % | 33.2% 114 |
| 26.7% 324 | 3-point % | 35.0% 31 |
| 72.5 123 | Pace | 71.6 162 |
Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 1 meeting
- Detroit Mercy 65 @ Illinois 73Dec 10, 2017
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