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CLE

Cleveland State @ Penn State

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Horizon vs Big Ten · · Rec Hall

PSU
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 143.4

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
CLECleveland State Vikings
71% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetCLE -6.4
Totaln/a143.4
Moneylinen/aCLE -241
PSU +241 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

PSU 72, CLE 78Typical score
CLE by 22 to PSU by 108 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Cleveland State can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.5 points to Cleveland State in our ratings.
  2. Cleveland State's offense (97.3 points per 100 possessions, 89th in Division I) meets a Penn State defense that ranks 358th.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Cleveland State 80th (+10.1), Penn State 268th (-10.2) of 364.
  4. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Cleveland State about 2.9 points stronger over recent games.
  5. Team matchup: where Cleveland State can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (83rd of 364) meets the Penn State shooting defense (356th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their ball pressure (152nd of 364) meets the Penn State ball security (226th): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position favors Cleveland State, so they need their depth to beat the other side's stars, with Izabella Zingaro (16.9 pts, 7.4 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 12.8) leading the way.
  7. Simulation: Cleveland State win 3,535 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Cleveland State may not

  1. Home court: Penn State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Penn State 24th (+2.1), Cleveland State 332nd (-1.1) of 364.
  3. Three-point shooting: Penn State 61st (33.8%), Cleveland State 225th (29.6%) of 364.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Cleveland State lose by 10 or more.
  5. Team matchup: where Penn State can push back. Their shooting efficiency (21st of 364) meets the Cleveland State shooting defense (121st), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Kiyomi McMiller (Penn State: 21.6 pts, 5.0 reb, 4.5 ast, Game Score 12.5) has the edge on Jada Leonard (Cleveland State: 12.0 pts, 2.3 reb, 3.0 ast, Game Score 7.9); best player against best player, Gracie Merkle (Penn State: 19.2 pts, 8.2 reb, 1.3 ast, Game Score 15.9) has the edge on Izabella Zingaro (Cleveland State: 16.9 pts, 7.4 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 12.8).
  7. Upset odds: Penn State win 1,465 of 5,000 simulations (29%). A 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

CLE Cleveland State

Every regular played last game.

PSU Penn State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

CLEPSU
0-0Record0-0
+10.1 80Net rating-10.2 268
97.3 89Offensive rating97.0 97
87.2 81Defensive rating107.2 358
-1.1 332Strength of schedule+2.1 24
48.7% 83Effective FG%51.7% 21
44.6% 121Opponent eFG%52.0% 356
23.7 221Turnovers per 10023.8 226
32.3% 146Offensive rebound %32.3% 143
29.6% 2253-point %33.8% 61
71.0 192Pace76.7 17

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

71%Cleveland State
29%Penn State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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