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TROY

Troy @ Kent State

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · M.A.C. Center · MAC-SBC Challenge

KENT
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
TROYTroy Trojans
53% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetTROY -0.7
Totaln/a143.5
Moneylinen/aTROY -113
KENT +113 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

KENT 74, TROY 76Typical score
TROY by 17 to KENT by 158 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Troy can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 5.3 points to Troy in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Troy 68th (+12.0), Kent State 204th (-2.9) of 364.
  3. Troy's offense (99.4 points per 100 possessions, 65th in Division I) meets a Kent State defense that ranks 250th.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 1.6 points to Troy in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where Troy can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (10th of 364) meets the Kent State defensive rebounding (292nd), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (166th of 364) meets the Kent State shooting defense (237th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Zay Dyer (Troy: 14.2 pts, 12.8 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 12.6) has the edge on Mya Babbitt (Kent State: 16.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.8).
  7. Simulation: Troy win 2,650 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Troy may not

  1. Home court: Kent State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Troy lose by 15 or more.
  3. Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Kent State 10th (0.28), Troy 180th (0.20) of 364.
  4. Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Kent State 136th (23.5), Troy 257th (20.8) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: Kent State have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Troy on paper, but Mya Babbitt (16.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 8.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Kent State win 2,350 of 5,000 simulations (47%). A 53% pick still loses about 5 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

TROY Troy

Every regular played last game.

KENT Kent State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

TROYKENT
0-0Record0-0
+12.0 68Net rating-2.9 204
99.4 65Offensive rating91.7 174
87.4 86Defensive rating94.5 250
+0.5 110Strength of schedule+0.6 101
45.5% 166Effective FG%43.5% 246
43.5% 59Opponent eFG%46.5% 237
21.2 111Turnovers per 10025.4 296
40.1% 10Offensive rebound %37.1% 38
31.4% 1403-point %28.7% 266
80.2 2Pace73.1 98

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 2 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-02-082024-25Kent State 84 @ Troy 73KENT
2019-12-202019-20Kent State 64 @ Troy 71 (neutral)TROY

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

53%Troy
47%Kent State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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