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UCSD

UC San Diego @ #16 Washington

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · WAC vs Big Ten · · Alaska Airlines Arena

WASH
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 134.1

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
WASHWashington Huskies
76% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 76% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetWASH -8.1
Totaln/a134.1
Moneylinen/aUCSD +308
WASH -308 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

WASH 79, UCSD 71Typical score
UCSD by 9 to WASH by 248 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Washington can win

  1. Home court: Washington play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Washington about 2.0 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Strength of schedule: Washington 26th (+2.0), UC San Diego 255th (-0.5) of 364.
  4. AP poll: Washington are ranked No. 16; UC San Diego are unranked.
  5. Team matchup: where Washington can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (40th of 364) meets the UC San Diego shooting defense (172nd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (58th of 364) meets the UC San Diego defensive rebounding (173rd): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Washington. The closest: best player against best player, Erin Condron (UC San Diego: 15.6 pts, 8.5 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 12.8) is about even with Avery Howell (Washington: 14.2 pts, 8.3 reb, 1.4 ast, Game Score 12.6).
  7. Simulation: Washington win 3,775 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Washington may not

  1. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Washington lose by 9 or more.
  2. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): UC San Diego 14th (17.4), Washington 115th (21.3) of 364.
  3. Weak spot: Washington rank 341st of 364 in getting to the line (free throws per shot) (0.16).
  4. Weak spot: Washington rank 291st of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.7).
  5. Team matchup: where UC San Diego can push back. Their ball pressure (37th of 364) meets the Washington ball security (115th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Washington on paper, but Erin Condron (15.6 pts, 8.5 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 12.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: UC San Diego win 1,225 of 5,000 simulations (24%). A 76% pick still loses about 2 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

UCSD UC San Diego

Every regular played last game.

WASH Washington

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

UCSDWASH
0-0Record0-0
+8.5 91Net rating+13.5 54
95.1 133Offensive rating102.6 38
86.5 64Defensive rating89.1 129
-0.5 255Strength of schedule+2.0 26
46.6% 132Effective FG%50.6% 40
45.4% 172Opponent eFG%44.9% 141
17.4 14Turnovers per 10021.3 115
24.2% 338Offensive rebound %35.9% 58
30.9% 1653-point %34.1% 55
73.2 91Pace69.5 256

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-282025-26UC San Diego 50 @ Washington 67WASH

What if?

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24%UC San Diego
76%Washington

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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