Morehead State @ #14 Kentucky
Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Ohio Valley vs SEC · · Memorial Coliseum (KY)
- Morehead State OVC 0-0, 3rd · 0-0 overall
- Kentucky AP #14 · SEC 0-0, 6th · 0-0 overall
Game day
Tip-offThe line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | No line yet | UK -15.8 |
| Total | n/a | 133.2 |
| Moneyline | n/a | MORE +1063 UK -1063 fair |
No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.
5,000 simulated games
Advantages Why Kentucky can win
- Recent scoring margins: worth about 4.8 points to Kentucky in our ratings.
- Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Kentucky 22nd (+19.9), Morehead State 217th (-4.0) of 364.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Kentucky about 3.2 points stronger over recent games.
- Home court: Kentucky play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
- Team matchup: where Kentucky can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (33rd of 364) meets the Morehead State shooting defense (223rd), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best player against best player, Clara Strack (Kentucky: 16.9 pts, 10.1 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 14.6) has the edge on Kate Dike (Morehead State: 14.2 pts, 7.1 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 9.2).
- Simulation: Kentucky win 4,570 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Kentucky may not
- Turnovers forced per 100 possessions: Morehead State 129th (23.6), Kentucky 315th (19.2) of 364.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Kentucky lose by 1 or more.
- Weak spot: Kentucky rank 315th of 364 in turnovers forced per 100 possessions (19.2).
- Getting to the line (free throws per shot): Morehead State 143rd (0.21), Kentucky 251st (0.19) of 364.
- Team matchup: a strength Kentucky may not get to use. Their offensive rebounding (71st of 364) meets the Morehead State defensive rebounding (115th), one of the better units at stopping it, which can take away their plan to crash the glass for second chances.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Kentucky on paper, but Kate Dike (14.2 pts, 7.1 reb, 1.2 ast, Game Score 9.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Morehead State win 430 of 5,000 simulations (9%). A 91% pick still loses about 1 time in 10.
🥭 Mango Sliced Facts
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Still out?
Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.
MORE Morehead State
Every regular played last game.
UK Kentucky
Every regular played last game.
Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.
Side by side
| MORE | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| -4.0 217 | Net rating | +19.9 22 |
| 89.1 211 | Offensive rating | 106.8 23 |
| 93.1 222 | Defensive rating | 86.9 73 |
| +0.0 183 | Strength of schedule | +2.7 11 |
| 47.6% 105 | Effective FG% | 51.1% 33 |
| 46.3% 223 | Opponent eFG% | 42.3% 33 |
| 23.3 199 | Turnovers per 100 | 18.9 41 |
| 24.4% 335 | Offensive rebound % | 35.3% 71 |
| 30.0% 208 | 3-point % | 33.0% 77 |
| 71.0 184 | Pace | 70.1 235 |
Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Season | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | 2025-26 | Morehead State 59 @ Kentucky 75 | UK |
| 2022-11-11 | 2022-23 | Morehead State 48 @ Kentucky 73 | UK |
| 2019-11-21 | 2019-20 | Morehead State 54 @ Kentucky 79 | UK |
| 2018-11-28 | 2018-19 | Morehead State 57 @ Kentucky 87 | UK |
| 2017-11-22 | 2017-18 | Morehead State 53 @ Kentucky 86 | UK |
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