21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango 🥭 Tip jar
Invite
SEMO

Southeast Missouri State @ Missouri State

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Ohio Valley vs Conference USA · · Great Southern Bank Arena

MOST
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
MOSTMissouri State Lady Bears
74% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 74% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetMOST -7.2
Totaln/a133.4
Moneylinen/aSEMO +290
MOST -290 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

MOST 79, SEMO 72Typical score
SEMO by 9 to MOST by 248 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Missouri State can win

  1. Home court: Missouri State play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Recent scoring margins: worth about 2.4 points to Missouri State in our ratings.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Missouri State 122nd (+4.9), Southeast Missouri State 228th (-5.4) of 364.
  4. Strength of schedule: Missouri State 133rd (+0.3), Southeast Missouri State 267th (-0.5) of 364.
  5. Team matchup: where Missouri State can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (94th of 364) meets the Southeast Missouri State defensive rebounding (198th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Kaemyn Bekemeier (Missouri State: 17.4 pts, 8.2 reb, 1.6 ast, Game Score 10.9) has the edge on Carmen Taylor (Southeast Missouri State: 12.8 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 7.3); at forward, Lainie Douglas (Missouri State: 13.6 pts, 6.3 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 10.4) has the edge on Kearra Jones (Southeast Missouri State: 9.5 pts, 5.6 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 7.1).
  7. Simulation: Missouri State win 3,720 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Missouri State may not

  1. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Southeast Missouri State about 1.9 points stronger over recent games.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Missouri State lose by 9 or more.
  3. Ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions): Southeast Missouri State 170th (22.7), Missouri State 262nd (24.6) of 364.
  4. Weak spot: Missouri State rank 262nd of 364 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (24.6).
  5. Team matchup: where Southeast Missouri State can push back. Their ball pressure (168th of 364) meets the Missouri State ball security (262nd), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Missouri State on paper, but Carmen Taylor (12.8 pts, 2.5 reb, 1.9 ast, Game Score 7.3) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Southeast Missouri State win 1,280 of 5,000 simulations (26%). A 74% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

SEMO Southeast Missouri State

Every regular played last game.

MOST Missouri State

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

SEMOMOST
0-0Record0-0
-5.4 228Net rating+4.9 122
88.4 229Offensive rating90.7 190
93.8 235Defensive rating85.9 52
-0.5 267Strength of schedule+0.3 133
45.9% 153Effective FG%44.3% 215
45.9% 199Opponent eFG%42.3% 36
22.7 170Turnovers per 10024.6 262
25.6% 318Offensive rebound %34.1% 94
29.5% 2283-point %29.6% 221
72.7 110Pace72.3 128

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-112025-26Missouri State 67 @ Southeast Missouri State 57MOST
2024-12-162024-25Missouri State 77 @ Southeast Missouri State 49MOST
2023-11-222023-24Southeast Missouri State 66 @ Missouri State 74MOST
2013-12-212013-14Southeast Missouri State 66 @ Missouri State 77MOST
2012-12-212012-13Missouri State 69 @ Southeast Missouri State 55MOST

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

26%Southeast Missouri State
74%Missouri State

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat