21+ only. Information and entertainment, not betting advice. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (Arizona) or 1-800-GAMBLER.

AZMango Tip jar
Invite
UTC

Chattanooga @ Western Kentucky

NCAAW · · E.A. Diddle Arena

WKU

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
UTCChattanooga Mocs
60% to win
ModelUTC 60%WKU 40%

No betting line yet, so no market chance to compare.

Not a promise: a 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetUTC -3.3
Totaln/a126.6
Moneylinen/aUTC -151
WKU +151 fair

No betting line posted yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. We add it as soon as one posts.

5,000 simulated games

Typical score
WKU 74, UTC 77
8 in 10 games
UTC by 19 to WKU by 13
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Chattanooga can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 6.2 points to Chattanooga in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Chattanooga 134th (+3.7), Western Kentucky 301st (-14.0) of 363.
  3. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.4 points to Chattanooga in our ratings.
  4. Chattanooga's offense (94.3 points per 100 possessions, 139th in Division I) meets a Western Kentucky defense that ranks 288th.
  5. Team matchup: where Chattanooga can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (107th of 363) meets the Western Kentucky defensive rebounding (346th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their shooting efficiency (121st of 363) meets the Western Kentucky shooting defense (286th): a chance to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Caia Elisaldez (Chattanooga: 17.0 pts, 3.1 reb, 5.1 ast, Game Score 11.5) has the edge on Trinity Rowe (Western Kentucky: 10.8 pts, 1.9 reb, 4.5 ast, Game Score 8.2).
  7. Simulation: Chattanooga win 3,005 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Chattanooga may not

  1. Home court: Western Kentucky play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Western Kentucky 167th (+0.0), Chattanooga 339th (-1.6) of 363.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Chattanooga lose by 13 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Chattanooga rank 339th of 363 in strength of schedule (-1.6).
  5. Team matchup: where Western Kentucky can push back. Their ball pressure (91st of 363) meets the Chattanooga ball security (165th), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Chattanooga on paper, but Trinity Rowe (10.8 pts, 1.9 reb, 4.5 ast, Game Score 8.2) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Western Kentucky win 1,995 of 5,000 simulations (40%). A 60% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

Ask about this matchup; answers use only this page.

Loading…

AI answers can be wrong; the numbers above rule. Not betting advice.

Team news

Loading the latest headlines...

Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Who's out

UTC Chattanooga

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

WKU Western Kentucky

  • Nobody listed out or questionable.

Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.

Side by sideRankings

UTCWKU
0-0Record0-0
+3.7 134Net rating-14.0 301
94.3 139Offensive rating83.2 289
90.6 163Defensive rating97.2 288
-1.6 339Strength of schedule+0.0 167
47.1% 121Effective FG%44.8% 189
45.2% 161Opponent eFG%48.1% 286
22.5 165Turnovers per 10024.9 277
33.4% 107Offensive rebound %23.7% 339
32.1% 1103-point %28.6% 270
67.0 332Pace68.0 305

Small numbers are ranks among 363 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

  • Western Kentucky 58 @ Chattanooga 59Dec 19, 2025

What changed

Nothing since our first call ().

What if?

Chattanooga60%
40%Western Kentucky

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

Game chat

    Sign in or create a free account to chat.

    Be a good sport: no threats, hate, personal details or spam. Open the full chat