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HOW

Howard @ Missouri

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · MEAC vs SEC · · Mizzou Arena

MIZ
Rankings and standings

Game day

Tip-off

Our pick
HOWHoward Bison
71% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetHOW -6.6
Totaln/a140.3
Moneylinen/aHOW -242
MIZ +242 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

MIZ 72, HOW 79Typical score
HOW by 23 to MIZ by 98 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Howard can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 8.1 points to Howard in our ratings.
  2. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 3.1 points to Howard in our ratings.
  3. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): Howard 90th (+8.6), Missouri 229th (-5.6) of 364.
  4. Howard's offense (92.2 points per 100 possessions, 163rd in Division I) meets a Missouri defense that ranks 342nd.
  5. Team matchup: where Howard can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (116th of 364) meets the Missouri defensive rebounding (221st), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances. And their ball pressure (60th of 364) meets the Missouri ball security (131st): a chance to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: no key position clearly favors Howard. The closest: best player against best player, Grace Slaughter (Missouri: 18.7 pts, 6.8 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 12.6) is about even with Zennia Thomas (Howard: 15.2 pts, 7.9 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 11.4).
  7. Simulation: Howard win 3,540 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Howard may not

  1. Home court: Missouri play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Strength of schedule: Missouri 35th (+1.8), Howard 349th (-1.3) of 364.
  3. Three-point shooting: Missouri 36th (34.7%), Howard 233rd (29.4%) of 364.
  4. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Howard lose by 9 or more.
  5. Team matchup: Missouri have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Howard on paper, but Grace Slaughter (18.7 pts, 6.8 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 12.6) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Missouri win 1,460 of 5,000 simulations (29%). A 71% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

HOW Howard

Every regular played last game.

MIZ Missouri

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

HOWMIZ
0-0Record0-0
+8.6 90Net rating-5.6 229
92.2 163Offensive rating97.4 87
83.6 26Defensive rating102.9 342
-1.3 349Strength of schedule+1.8 35
43.1% 262Effective FG%50.8% 37
42.5% 41Opponent eFG%47.7% 277
20.8 100Turnovers per 10021.7 131
33.2% 116Offensive rebound %22.8% 350
29.4% 2333-point %34.7% 36
72.2 134Pace74.3 55

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

71%Howard
29%Missouri

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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