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South Alabama @ Akron

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · James A. Rhodes Arena · MAC-SBC Challenge

AKR
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 140.8

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
USASouth Alabama Jaguars
63% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetUSA -4.1
Totaln/a140.8
Moneylinen/aUSA -169
AKR +169 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

AKR 73, USA 77Typical score
USA by 21 to AKR by 128 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why South Alabama can win

  1. Recent scoring margins: worth about 7.1 points to South Alabama in our ratings.
  2. Net rating (points per 100 possessions): South Alabama 172nd (+0.0), Akron 324th (-16.9) of 364.
  3. South Alabama's offense (92.6 points per 100 possessions, 157th in Division I) meets a Akron defense that ranks 349th.
  4. Efficiency (points per 100 possessions): worth about 2.1 points to South Alabama in our ratings.
  5. Team matchup: where South Alabama can take advantage. Their shooting efficiency (128th of 364) meets the Akron shooting defense (354th), so look for them to get clean looks against a defense that gives them up. And their offensive rebounding (26th of 364) meets the Akron defensive rebounding (200th): a chance to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: Best player against best player, Cordasia Harris (South Alabama: 11.0 pts, 8.7 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 10.2) has the edge on Ni'Rah Clark (Akron: 11.8 pts, 5.3 reb, 0.5 ast, Game Score 7.0).
  7. Simulation: South Alabama win 3,145 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why South Alabama may not

  1. Home court: Akron play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations South Alabama lose by 12 or more.
  3. Strength of schedule: Akron 97th (+0.6), South Alabama 194th (-0.1) of 364.
  4. Weak spot: South Alabama rank 323rd of 364 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (26.7).
  5. Team matchup: Akron have no clear unit-against-unit edge, so their path runs through a hot shooting night or a cold one from the favorite.
  6. Star matchup: At guard, Shaena Brew (Akron: 11.2 pts, 3.9 reb, 3.9 ast, Game Score 6.9) has the edge on Amyah Sutton (South Alabama: 11.6 pts, 1.8 reb, 1.8 ast, Game Score 5.1).
  7. Upset odds: Akron win 1,855 of 5,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

USA South Alabama

Every regular played last game.

AKR Akron

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

USAAKR
0-0Record0-0
+0.0 172Net rating-16.9 324
92.6 157Offensive rating87.8 235
92.6 212Defensive rating104.7 349
-0.1 194Strength of schedule+0.6 97
46.7% 128Effective FG%46.1% 147
44.9% 143Opponent eFG%51.4% 354
26.7 323Turnovers per 10025.0 277
38.1% 26Offensive rebound %26.8% 301
31.6% 1333-point %31.0% 154
73.0 100Pace76.1 28

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 1 meeting

DateSeasonScoreWinner
2025-11-032025-26Akron 63 @ South Alabama 87USA

What if?

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63%South Alabama
37%Akron

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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