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ODU

Old Dominion @ Central Michigan

Women's college basketball 2026-27 · Sun Belt vs MAC · · McGuirk Arena · MAC-SBC Challenge

CMU
Rankings and standings

Game day

No over/under yet · our total 139.5

  1. Tip-off
Our pick
CMUCentral Michigan Chippewas
67% to win
Model

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

Not a promise: a 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

The line

MarketAZMango
SpreadNo line yetCMU -5.2
Totaln/a139.5
Moneylinen/aODU +203
CMU -203 fair

No betting line has been posted for this game yet. Sportsbooks post lines for many women's college games only on game day, and smaller-conference games often get none at all. Books also take a line down for a while when a key player's status is unclear. We check ESPN's lines before each day's games and add the line as soon as there is one.

5,000 simulated games

CMU 78, ODU 72Typical score
ODU by 11 to CMU by 218 in 10 games
Live oddsBetMGM DraftKings FanDuel

Unpaid links. We take no bets.

Advantages Why Central Michigan can win

  1. Home court: Central Michigan play at home, worth about 3.5 points in women's college basketball.
  2. Three-point shooting: Central Michigan 32nd (35.0%), Old Dominion 264th (28.8%) of 364.
  3. Defensive rebounding (share of misses): Central Michigan 36th (73.5%), Old Dominion 309th (64.8%) of 364.
  4. Central Michigan's offense (96.4 points per 100 possessions, 106th in Division I) meets a Old Dominion defense that ranks 201st.
  5. Team matchup: where Central Michigan can take advantage. Their offensive rebounding (13th of 364) meets the Old Dominion defensive rebounding (309th), so look for them to crash the glass for second chances.
  6. Star matchup: At forward, Ayanna-Sarai Darrington (Central Michigan: 14.9 pts, 7.2 reb, 1.0 ast, Game Score 10.8) has the edge on Riley Stack (Old Dominion: 7.8 pts, 5.1 reb, 0.8 ast, Game Score 6.8); best player against best player, Madi Morson (Central Michigan: 20.1 pts, 4.0 reb, 1.7 ast, Game Score 12.4) has the edge on En'Dya Buford (Old Dominion: 12.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 9.8).
  7. Simulation: Central Michigan win 3,350 of 5,000 simulated games.

Disadvantages Why Central Michigan may not

  1. Strength of schedule: Old Dominion 82nd (+0.8), Central Michigan 258th (-0.5) of 364.
  2. Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Old Dominion about 1.3 points stronger over recent games.
  3. Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Central Michigan lose by 11 or more.
  4. Weak spot: Central Michigan rank 301st of 364 in ball security (turnovers per 100 possessions) (25.7).
  5. Team matchup: where Old Dominion can push back. Their ball pressure (226th of 364) meets the Central Michigan ball security (301st), so look for them to turn steals into easy points in transition.
  6. Star matchup: the key positions lean Central Michigan on paper, but En'Dya Buford (12.0 pts, 4.7 reb, 2.6 ast, Game Score 9.8) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
  7. Upset odds: Old Dominion win 1,650 of 5,000 simulations (33%). A 67% pick still loses about 3 times in 10.

🥭 Mango Sliced Facts

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Team news

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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.

Still out?

Regulars who sat out each team's last game. We count them as likely out.

ODU Old Dominion

Every regular played last game.

CMU Central Michigan

Every regular played last game.

Also checked (ESPN and CBS Sports news): nothing beyond the report.

Side by side

ODUCMU
0-0Record0-0
-1.9 192Net rating+4.4 129
90.3 192Offensive rating96.4 106
92.2 201Defensive rating92.1 199
+0.8 82Strength of schedule-0.5 258
43.4% 250Effective FG%47.5% 107
42.0% 27Opponent eFG%46.1% 216
24.0 235Turnovers per 10025.7 301
36.4% 47Offensive rebound %39.8% 13
28.8% 2643-point %35.0% 32
75.5 39Pace72.9 107

Small numbers are ranks among 364 Division I teams (1 = best; pace 1 = fastest). Ratings are points per 100 possessions; strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced (2025-26 season and this season so far).

Last 5 meetings

These teams have not met since 2009.

What if?

Slide to shift the expected margin and watch the chances move.

33%Old Dominion
67%Central Michigan

Our number.

Based on power ratings only (no betting line yet). How it works

This matchup on any day (power ratings only)

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