Game day
Puck dropWho's playing
The line
| Market | AZMango | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | ANA -192 VAN +160 | ANA -171 VAN +171 fair |
| Puck line | ANA -1.5 (+136) | ANA covers 40% |
| Total goals | 6.5 | 6.5 · over 50% |
Line: , ESPN. Odds move; check a book before acting. In hockey the moneyline carries the market's view; the puck line is almost always 1.5 goals, with the price doing the work.
5,000 simulated games
- Expected goals
- VAN 2.9, ANA 3.6
- 8 in 10 games
- ANA by 4 to VAN by 3
- Tied after 60 minutes
- 23%
Advantages Why Ducks can win
- In goal: Laurent Brossoit (Ducks confirmed starter, 0.864 save percentage in 1 starts) has been the better goalie lately than Kevin Lankinen (Canucks confirmed starter, 0.812 save percentage in 7 starts), worth about 0.62 goals a game in our ratings.
- Shot margins: Ducks have controlled play better (shots for and against, adjusted for opponents), worth about 0.39 goals to them in our ratings.
- Season-long ratings: betting lines have rated Ducks about 0.30 goals a game stronger over recent games.
- Team matchup: where Ducks can take advantage. Their finishing (4th of 32) meets the Canucks goaltending (32nd), so look for them to bury the chances they get. And their scoring (9th of 32) meets the Canucks goal prevention (32nd): a chance to turn chances into goals against a team that gives them up.
- Star matchup: Best skater against best skater, Leo Carlsson (Ducks: 4 G, 17 A in 14 games, 20 min a night) has the edge on Elias Pettersson (Canucks: 4 G, 12 A in 16 games, 20 min a night); at wing, Cutter Gauthier (Ducks: 7 G, 5 A in 13 games, 18 min a night) has the edge on Jonathan Lekkerimäki (Canucks: 6 G, 7 A in 16 games, 15 min a night).
- The betting market agrees: Ducks 63% to win on the moneyline, after removing the sportsbooks' margin.
- Simulation: Ducks win 3,155 of 5,000 simulated games.
Disadvantages Why Ducks may not
- Home ice: Canucks play at home, with the last line change; home teams win about 54% of NHL games.
- Strength of schedule: Canucks 5th (+0.15), Ducks 25th (-0.07) of 32.
- Range of outcomes: in the worst 10% of simulations Ducks lose by 3 goals or more.
- History: Canucks won 4 of the last 5 meetings (rosters change, so this says little).
- Team matchup: where Canucks can push back. Their finishing (6th of 32) meets the Ducks goaltending (30th), so look for them to bury the chances they get. And their power play (16th of 32) meets the Ducks discipline (27th): a chance to cash in on the power plays a penalty-prone team hands out.
- Star matchup: the key positions lean Ducks on paper, but Elias Pettersson (4 G, 12 A in 16 games, 20 min a night) is the kind of player who can swing one game.
- Upset odds: Canucks win 1,845 of 5,000 simulations (37%). A 63% pick still loses about 4 times in 10. About 23% of the simulations went past regulation.
In goal
ANA Ducks
- ConfirmedLaurent Brossoit0.864 save %, 1 starts, -0.9 goals saved above average
VAN Canucks
- ConfirmedKevin Lankinen0.812 save %, 7 starts, -18.3 goals saved above average
"Confirmed" and "Expected" are ESPN's. Starters are usually named at the morning skate or in warmups; until then we expect the team's usual starter, or the backup on the second night of a back-to-back.
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Team news
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Headlines from ESPN and CBS Sports, each linked to the full story. Injuries, lineups, suspensions and coaching news come first. We leave out rumors, gossip about players' private lives and betting promos.
Who's out
ANA Ducks
- Sat outFrank Vatranosat out last game
- OutA.J. Greer LWinjured reserve · ESPN team rosters, Nov 2, 2026
VAN Canucks
- Nobody listed out or questionable.
Regulars who sat out a team's last game count as likely out (box scores). Also checked: who played in recent games, ESPN team rosters, ESPN and CBS Sports news. Players out or doubtful are never counted as a strength.
Side by sideStandings
| ANA | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-7-1 | Record | 3-12-1 |
| -0.29 22 | Goal differential/game | -1.56 31 |
| 3.50 9 | Goals per game | 2.94 23 |
| 3.79 30 | Goals allowed | 4.50 32 |
| 47.6% 25 | Shot share | 40.2% 32 |
| 25.0 28 | Shots per game | 21.5 32 |
| 27.6 17 | Shots allowed | 31.9 32 |
| 14.0% 4 | Shooting % | 13.7% 6 |
| 0.868 30 | Save % | 0.863 32 |
| 1.14 2 | Power-play goals/game | 0.62 16 |
| 11.3 27 | Penalty minutes/game | 9.1 15 |
| 54.7% 23 | Faceoffs won | 58.3% 8 |
| -0.07 25 | Strength of schedule | +0.15 5 |
Small numbers are ranks among the 32 NHL teams (1 = best). Records are wins, regulation losses and overtime or shootout losses. Strength of schedule is the average rating of opponents faced, in goals (2026-27 season).
Last 5 meetings
- Canucks 6 @ Ducks 5Oct 27, 2026 · OT
- Canucks 4 @ Ducks 3Apr 12, 2026 · OT
- Ducks 5 @ Canucks 3Mar 24, 2026
- Ducks 0 @ Canucks 2Jan 29, 2026
- Canucks 5 @ Ducks 4Nov 26, 2025
Your pick
Locks at puck drop · Challenge a friend · All picks · Leaderboard
What changed
Nothing since our first call ().
What if?
Based on market line + adjustments. How it works
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